longlivetheking wrote:JamesDean1955 wrote:Well it's official, y'all have made me an optimist, I stand corrected.
I was also factoring in people applying this cycle with high lsat scores from previous testing years, as I think this accounts for a decent number of people (I am one of those people, and have three friends with scores in the 172-176 range from 2-3 years ago that are applying this cycle), but even so, once you take out the splitters, it wouldn't be close to that ~1900 figure.
Go waitlist .
should also take into consideration people this cycle who got 172+ lsat scores but chose to sit out this cycle for whatever reason (ie do not want to be a lawyer)
Yes. In my opinion, if NYU and Harvard (the largest T6 classes by far) choose to matriculate a similar class size this year they will have to see at least a 1-pt reduction in their LSAT medians. Ok, maybe Harvard will be able to squeeze by, but I just don't see it working for NYU. NYU has to send ~1250 acceptances to fill a class of 450. Their deadline is 2/15, so using LSAC data for number of applicants we can assume about 40,000 total applicants around that time (it was 34,000 on 2/1). 1250 is around 3% of the total applicant pool they're working with (now you're down to 169 territory assuming the total pool reflects a similar disribution of LSAT scores). Also consider that NYU is likely to receive anywhere between 5200-6400 applicants this year.
Campos and others have said that the high LSAT scorers are choosing not to apply (I haven't seen the data though- anyone has it?). If that is true, T6 are in even bigger LSAT median trouble. This analysis doesn't take into account the other major factor in admissions, GPA, but Of course, URM status and other special circumstances have been neglected. I still think WL candidates will have a better shot this year than they expect.