cusenation wrote:I went UCR 2 on 11/20, no call. Penn traditionally only takes like 15-30 kids from an ED pool. And it's probably gonna be on the lower end for this ED cycle because they have, for the first time, another ED cycle next month. And I'm doubtful that Penn will double the number of spots they give out to ED candidates.
Personally I think it's likely that all of the ED acceptances were distributed on Friday..I think I counted 5-8 ED admits in this thread? (could be wrong, don't remember, too lazy to count). That's a significant number when you consider that not every Penn ED applicant uses or posts on TLS. But hopefully I'm wrong =(
Your post pretty much sums up my thoughts on the matter as well. Also, while historically most who don't get in ED get dinged, some do get held. But I'm not feeling too confident about that happening this year either because of the 2nd ED round.
That's certainly a possibility. But we need to remember that Penn needed to make a decision about the ED1 apps BEFORE they saw the ED2 apps. Because the ED2 deadline isn't until later this month (if i remember correctly).
So it could certainly go the way you're predicting, that Penn reduces its waitlists/holds for the ED1 crop because they have the ED2 card up their sleeve. But it's also very possible that they were more generous with the ED1 Waitlists/holds because they want to protect themselves from a mediocre ED2 crop.
Do they discard ED1 applicants who've demonstrated a willingness to commit because they're confident that the ED2 pool will be of a similar quality? Or will they be cautious and keep the ED1 applicants on the table in case they get screwed by the ED2 pool? Personally, considering the declining quality/number of applications, I think they'll opt for the latter option. It makes more sense to me...they lose nothing by waitlisting/holding more ED1 applicants. But they stand to lose a lot if they ding a bunch of us only to discover that the ED2 pool isn't as great as they needed it to be. Just my two cents =)