Lapetite7 wrote:Why do chances decrease if u haven't heard back yet? Isn't it better than reject?
True it's better than a ding, but If you look at the chart it's getting to the point where most of the admits have gone out. http://www.top-law-schools.com/images/d ... ordham.jpg
I wouldn't read too much into that.
A lot of it is causal - admissions / rejections / waitlists come in waves. The following is true not only for Fordham, but for most schools.
A chunk of people (good or bad) hear in back december, because that's when Early Decision is due
There's a second wave in January, which is the people who applied early, but had to wait for early decisions to go out first
After those have been reviewed, they get to the applicants with a December LSAT, or who were a bit later getting their apps in (not everyone is an early bird)
This is broken up because into pieces because they also need to plan/prepare admitted student days.
toward the end of that wave, a lot of slots are filled up. Once the February LSAT scores are in, there's a final wave. What your chances are depends on two things: the strength of the February LSAT and the size of the admitted applicant pool
Basically, if you haven't heard back yet, it's not because you're probably not getting in, it's because they've got you in a maybe pile; you are going to be competing against the February LSAT takers, so if that's a really strong group, you're SOL. But, if the February results aren't that great, then you've got a good chance.
Also, this year has been a very weak year overall (total number of applicants is down significantly from last year and the year before), so I think a lot of schools are putting more people into the maybe pile and hoping that things will pick up. No school wants their standards to drop (e.g. having the average LSAT score decrease), but they also don't want empty seats. So while their acceptance standards will pretty much be the same for the first few months (read: before February LSAT), they will be pulling more applicants off the maybe list, after the February results are in (read: number of well-qualified applicants stays low)
Schools usually hold open some slots for the February results, because they don't want to turn away a good candidate, simply because a lesser applicant was accepted early. Once the February results are in, and the deposit deadline approeaches, schools will take another look at people in their maybe pile.
I've seen (all conjecture, of course) that a lot of schools are being tardy with a lot of applicants. Presumably it's all for the reasons above.
Not having heard back yet means you're a weak, but viable candidate (good enough to not get dinged or waitlisted off the bat). Because this is a very weak year, there's a good chance you'll sneak in.