Nulli Secundus wrote:
Syme wrote:Not to mention - JS is probably feeling incredible pressure to get the class filled. It is late in the game and they are only at about 75% relative to same time last year.
Kinda misleading observation, imo. LSN acceptances is indeed at 75%, but there is also a 15% decrease in total number of applications. So who knows. Still I would want this to be true and JS to make an error of judgment under all that pressure and admit me.
I'll preface this by saying that, from what I can tell, you and I are soul brothers - dyed in the wool pessimists. But I disagree here.
If you're saying that the 15% reduction in apps could account for the disparity between the number of admits to this point and the same time last year, I'm not sure that makes sense. Correct me if I'm wrong, but I don't think historical fluctuations in total number of applications have caused any significant increase/decrease in admitted class size. In other words, one shouldn't expect a 15% reduction in applications to translate into anything close to a 15% smaller admitted pool.
I suppose you could mean that a 15% smaller applicant pool accounts for their slower progress towards filling the class insofar as there are by definition fewer auto-admit/strong candidates. But that kind of makes my point. They are working harder than they usually have to to fill a class and maintain their desired medians. Couple this with the reality that JS started late and has been playing catch-up, and I don’t see how there couldn’t be pressure right now to plough through JS1s and JS2s and finish the job.