LawSchoolPorFavor wrote:thought I should share a piece of the email the ding came with (it looks like the odds this year for people out of state may be a bit more brutal than usual):

"We expect to receive over 7,500 nonresident applications and 650 resident applications for the 350 seats in the entering class. This is likely to be the most difficult year on record in which to gain admission to Virginia Law. This is especially true for nonresidents."

It ends....

"I hope you excuse the informality of this communication, but I thought you might appreciate speed over formality. In addition, we are communicating almost exclusively via email now in an attempt to reduce our reliance on paper."

Good luck to everyone else!

I think someone already did this statistics (r6_philly maybe?), but doing it again to show the odds of getting in as OOS, non-URM

OOS probability

[350 seats] * 60% (% of ~OOS) / 31% yield rate (based off LSN statistics) = 677 acceptances for OOS

677 / 7,500 applicants = 9% chance, not taking GPA and LSAT into account

IS probability

[350 seats] * 40% (% of ~IS) / 31% yield rate (based off LSN statistics) = 451 acceptances for IS

451 / 650 applicants = 70% chance, not taking GPA and LSAT into account

wait... IS probabilility can't be right, can it? what am i doing wrong?