Shloime wrote: Ashlaw wrote:
Shloime wrote:But the above wouldn't explain how the decrease in applicants would make the competition stiffer.
I don't think anyone said that. Saying that Yale's competition decreased by that factor alone is like saying "I used to be deathly, morbidly obese, but now I am only morbidly obese."
Yale is competitive.
Well, I was just responding all along to your suggestion that the decrease in applicants may "hurt
So I want to begin by saying that this isn't supposed to be confrontational, but rather a silly way for me to working on my thesis:
Cynic's makeshift list of how less apps might hurt:
1) the less bad applicants there are, the less likely it is that the adcom will read my file after a bad file (making me look baller), and the more likely it is the adcom will read my app after a 4.0/180/triple minority applicant who has a solid plan for peace in the middle east (betraying me to be the mediocre applicant I am)
1*) the less bad applicants, the better the average applicant, and the worse I am relative to the average applicant; even if the same number of apps are accepted, the adcoms perception of my app is negatively affected.
2) the less applicants there are, the more time the adcom has to spend on any one file, giving the adcom time to realize I don't actually deserve to go to their awesome school
3) the drop in applicants is certainly not spread evenly among classes of applicants (those in undergrad, those interested in this subject or that subject, etc.)--if whatever class of applicant you are in did not see a drop in applicants, members of classes of applicants that did see a drop in applicants have a comparative advantage over you (in so far as Yale wants to build a diverse class).
4) perhaps our assumption that the class size will be the same as last year is flawed, and less applicants means a smaller class; given the current number of accepted students, our probability [in an epistemic sense] that we still in Yale purgatory will be admitted is potentially lower [that is to say that it didn't actually hurt us, but there is perhaps cause for more pessimism at this late date than there would otherwise be...this one is a stretch, I know].
5) the less applicants there are, the less data comes out regarding acceptances/rejections on TLS and other online forums, and consequently the less information we have; less information is bad.
6) the less applicants there are, the less people there are to do stupid things like this.