jrose5 wrote:tikiman6 wrote:My thoughts on this: Insofar as it behoves you to act prudently, then to the extent that you think it is doubtful that you get in (statistically), then incorporate that in your decisions to act on opportunities with an approaching expiration date. As to giving up hope, it stands to reason that the borderline cases would be the ones appealed to last. Therefore if you had a shot, you are likely straddling the border, and honestly are justified in holding onto the idea that there still is a chance that they will get to you. Even if you are the last one picked for the team, what you really wanted to be was on the team.
Also: any thoughts on correlation between duration of JR1 vs. shots at getting admitted?
I've noticed this, too.
To be clear, I wasn't saying hey everyone is fucked, shows over, go home. I'm saying that there are obvious facts and trends evident now that indicate its the time to start seriously making and/or considering alternate plans.