chrisnashville wrote: danquayle wrote:
TommyK wrote:So whoever came up with the theory of them trying to fix up their numbers a bit seems to be on to something. They probably noticed that their median was something like 3.4 / 167 and that if they're able to frontload a couple reverse splitters and backload a couple of splitters, they could get the median gpa up a bit and keep the lsat the same. Good theory, guys.
Tricky. I'm going to be really interested in what the GPA/LSAT medians are for our class. I would guess 3.5/166?
Their threshold points are pretty obvious. 166 and 3.8. The way medians work, they either hit them or don't, but if they miss the GPA median, it'll be a big drop off... to like 3.4 or lower. Because of that, I'm actually guessing they'll actually hit them, because it sounds like they're working from a position of power. (Which kind of surprises me).
At the very least I doubt they'll drop their GPA median much if at all. They probably view the drop from 3.8 to 3.4 worse than the drop from 166 to 165, so if they sacrifice anything it'd be that extra LSAT point.
But... it really seems like they're in position to hit those medians. Sounds like they have a surplus of 166+ people if they're looking for deferrals. By surplus, that means a surplus over their 180 class size goal. They've shown they can accept up to 250. At this point, they can admit as many high GPA people as they want to make sure they offset the low GPA high LSAT people. I honestly suspect they'll keep taking people off the waitlist well into summer to account for late decommits and to ensure they get those numbers.
The fewer deferrals they get, the more reverse splitters they'll need. Lucky for them, reverse splitters are a buyers market. (True splitters are more a seller's market.) They can not only admit reverse splitters, but admit those with LSATs on the low side for a T1 school. (Because really, the LSAT doesn't matter in terms of impact on numbers. They could have a 3.9/140 and have the same impact on the class profile as a 3.9/162.)
That actually might be a good strategy --> offer admission to someone with a 3.8+ GPA but such a low LSAT that they wouldn't typically get into a T1, let alone a T-25. Those kinds of people might have the idea of leaping from a T3 to a T-25 irresistible, even at full sticker. That helps them not only offset the true splitter's numbers, but offset the cost of the true splitter's scholarship.
This is gaming the system at its purest, and I love it.
(Of course, I don't think the LSAT is that predictive anyway).