blue5385 wrote:That's true. Her app did sound unusual based on the PS she didn't want to discuss.
My reasoning was based on the fact that after the initial WL pull last week, the people who will now get in (if any) will mostly be pulled off the WL to compensate for Y/S WL--->admits who jumped ship (and maybe a to fill a couple spots freed up by deferrals). Those people (esp. the Yale WL--->admits) will likely have excellent numbers, so HLS will need waitlisted candidates with excellent numbers to fill the spots with minimal GPA/LSAT median fluctuations. I'm sure this prediction is flawed in some way, but that's my take on the situation.
(edit: @swampthang, for the reasons above, I think the set of people they pulled initially is the one where people are more likely to have some unusual soft or qualification that recommends them above and beyond their numbers, including the 166 person, and the set of people they will pull from the WL from here on will be more numbers-heavy in order to replace the people with high numbers they will lose mostly to Yale.)
But who's to say they lose high numbers to Y/S? 1. Yale has a lower 25% LSAT so that might suggest that Yale's WL pulls are numerically at the margin so H might be looking to replace with lower LSATs. Stanford's LSAT range is vastly inferior which suggests a pull from H to S probably wouldn't need a high LSAT either. 2. Y/S probably did exactly what you just said about H, that they pulled people with "some unusual soft or qualification that recommends them above and beyond their numbers" so again, H would be looking to replace them. I really don't think we can say one way or another what H has lost and what they will be looking to replace. Maybe it's LSATs, maybe it's joint degrees, maybe it's gay farmers-- it's near-impossible to ascertain.
true. hence the reason why all this debate is pointless.
I don't think people with unusual softs can really be replaced since they are unique. If HLS lost a low-LSAT person with a really cool, different soft to YLS or SLS, the chances that they'll find another person with similar qualifications on the WL aren't too high. In that case, I don't think they would immediately turn to another waitlisted person with an strong or unusual soft, since softs are not interchangeable IMO. Since it'll be hard for them to find a replacement for a person with unique softs from the waitlist, my thinking is that they are likely to turn to the waitlist for the type of candidate they generally choose: the person with a great LSAT and GPA.
Also, I don't think the LSAT percentiles for either SLS and YLS have much to do with the people those schools pull from the waitlist, since the percentiles are by and large established by the admits they outright accept.
edit: My post kinda read like strong softs and high numbers were mutually exclusive, which they are not...people with both have the best chance of all, obviously!