CoaltoNewCastle wrote:swampthang wrote:
Deferral definitely would throw some wrenches in the work and make later acceptances likely, however, I will refer you all to Asha's latest blog entry from which I quote, "Generally, the bulk of our wait list activity, if we have any at all, will take place around our deposit deadline... I would say that usually our class is stable by the end of May."
Y'all can make arguments about different WL dynamics due to the vast differences in size, but I think as a general principle it would stand to reason that if you're not in by June, your chances are probably quite slim.
Sure, you can say all this, but pretty much every year on LSN there are waitlist admits in July and later. There may not be this year because of the new dean, but I doubt the factors that lead to these July admits are going to change for the worse. If anything, maybe more people will defer because of the bad economy.
Of course, I'm not saying there aren't any late WL admits, I just think your chances are very diminshed once June rolls around. Or as I said above, "quite slim". You pulled LSN data from last year and said it was about 50/50 before and after June. I would probably take issue with the completeness of LSN data. Regardless, no need to argue to death a hypotheticality over which we have no control. I'm just going to hope that your economy-driven deferral argument is true and that they're upfront about it and do it sooner than later.