I've been mulling something over, folks. Let me know if I'm wrong please.

If there are 1,600

total reviewed for FR, wouldn't that be spread out over the 2 FR batches (given there are two this year)?

And if that total is spread out, wouldn't there be a smaller number of applicants per FR batch than that total of 1,600? (Meaning to say, there aren't 1,600 of us vying for the 200 spots for the first FR.)

And with that smaller number per batch, wouldn't our chances of getting in increase? At least better chances than with the original 200/1600 calculation. Also, better chances with the first FR because all ~200 spots are still available. Obviously, we don't know the exact number of people chosen for the first FR and for the second but it would definitely be less than 1,600 per FR batch.

What do you guys think? Is my math or logic wrong?

Oh lordy. I'm obviously trying to give myself a better glimmer of hope here.