Oct 12 Curve Predictions?

Oct 12 Curve Predictions?

-9
3
5%
-10
7
12%
-11
9
16%
-12
15
26%
-13
13
23%
-14
10
18%
 
Total votes: 57

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glucose101
Posts: 423
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Oct 12 Curve Predictions?

Postby glucose101 » Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:00 pm

Ideas on the curve for getting a 170?
Last edited by glucose101 on Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:08 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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DaRascal
Posts: 1854
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Re: Oct 12 Curve Predictions?

Postby DaRascal » Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:03 pm

I'd say -13. It just felt like it with that BS on LG.

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moonman157
Posts: 1039
Joined: Mon Nov 14, 2011 10:26 pm

Re: Oct 12 Curve Predictions?

Postby moonman157 » Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:04 pm

Good luck to the person who thought that the curve is going to be -14

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oaken
Posts: 339
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Re: Oct 12 Curve Predictions?

Postby oaken » Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:04 pm

redundant

msquaredb
Posts: 112
Joined: Tue May 22, 2012 9:19 am

Re: Oct 12 Curve Predictions?

Postby msquaredb » Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:05 pm

How do I decide what the curve will be? What is the method used?

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glucose101
Posts: 423
Joined: Sun Mar 29, 2009 12:23 am

Re: Oct 12 Curve Predictions?

Postby glucose101 » Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:06 pm

You just predict what you think the curve will be based on how difficult you thght the exam was/compared to past exams. There isn't a formula, just a prediction.

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grahamkellis
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Re: Oct 12 Curve Predictions?

Postby grahamkellis » Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:07 pm

msquaredb wrote:How do I decide what the curve will be? What is the method used?


Same question for me.. Am I essentially answering how many I thought I missed?

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glucose101
Posts: 423
Joined: Sun Mar 29, 2009 12:23 am

Re: Oct 12 Curve Predictions?

Postby glucose101 » Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:08 pm

To get a 170. Maybe I've been on TLS too long and assumed everyone knew.

msquaredb
Posts: 112
Joined: Tue May 22, 2012 9:19 am

Re: Oct 12 Curve Predictions?

Postby msquaredb » Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:39 pm

glucose101 wrote:To get a 170. Maybe I've been on TLS too long and assumed everyone knew.


What would you say an average curve it? 11?

msquaredb
Posts: 112
Joined: Tue May 22, 2012 9:19 am

Re: Oct 12 Curve Predictions?

Postby msquaredb » Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:40 pm

Also, I'll be interested to see how accurate this ends up being. I would imagine that the collective sense of TLS would be close to correct.

Has it been accurate in the past?

msquaredb
Posts: 112
Joined: Tue May 22, 2012 9:19 am

Re: Oct 12 Curve Predictions?

Postby msquaredb » Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:41 pm

Also, I'll be interested to see how accurate this ends up being. I would imagine that the collective sense of TLS would be close to correct.

Has it been accurate in the past?

VasaVasori
Posts: 573
Joined: Sun Dec 11, 2011 2:36 pm

Post removed.

Postby VasaVasori » Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:43 pm

Post removed.
Last edited by VasaVasori on Sun May 10, 2015 3:46 pm, edited 2 times in total.

msquaredb
Posts: 112
Joined: Tue May 22, 2012 9:19 am

Re: Oct 12 Curve Predictions?

Postby msquaredb » Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:51 pm

VasaVasori wrote:
msquaredb wrote:Also, I'll be interested to see how accurate this ends up being. I would imagine that the collective sense of TLS would be close to correct.

Has it been accurate in the past?

There isn't a huge track record, but IIRC for every October and December test it has been under-predicted and for the only June test for which there's a record it was over-predicted. I think all the past polls recorded predictions of -12.


I looked up June 2012. If that exam was a -11 this one will certainly be a -12 or -13. I can't see -14 though.

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Alorain
Posts: 229
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Re: Oct 12 Curve Predictions?

Postby Alorain » Sat Oct 06, 2012 4:57 pm

msquaredb wrote:
VasaVasori wrote:
msquaredb wrote:Also, I'll be interested to see how accurate this ends up being. I would imagine that the collective sense of TLS would be close to correct.

Has it been accurate in the past?

There isn't a huge track record, but IIRC for every October and December test it has been under-predicted and for the only June test for which there's a record it was over-predicted. I think all the past polls recorded predictions of -12.


I looked up June 2012. If that exam was a -11 this one will certainly be a -12 or -13. I can't see -14 though.


June was a -10.

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Eberry
Posts: 12188
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Re: Oct 12 Curve Predictions?

Postby Eberry » Sat Oct 06, 2012 5:00 pm

oaken wrote:redundant


+1
I'm a bit offended.

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glucose101
Posts: 423
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Re: Oct 12 Curve Predictions?

Postby glucose101 » Sat Oct 06, 2012 6:13 pm

Mods can delete this thread. Didn't see the waiting thread.




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