Here it is in a pretty chart (adjusted to be projected complete numbers, not projected 91% of the total):

With 3548 people scoring +170, HYS could just about fill their classes with all the +175 people and about 200 of the 170-174 people. I can't see how HYS medians or 25/75s will fall by more than 1 point. Maybe other T14s could fall by 2. I want to be optimistic, but the number of +170s is simply huge, even after the fall. In fact, theoretically, the T14 could still fill all their places with 170s.

(Yeah that was true for last year, but they didn't, so I am a bit confused but not super optimistic.)

To the guy with a 173 who got WLed at Penn, you should be a shoo-in if T14s are really scrambling to maintain medians. I hope you make it. (But as a Penn undergrad, I'll say be careful what you wish for.)

With 3548 people scoring +170, HYS could just about fill their classes with all the +175 people and about 200 of the 170-174 people. I can't see how HYS medians or 25/75s will fall by more than 1 point. Maybe other T14s could fall by 2. I want to be optimistic, but the number of +170s is simply huge, even after the fall. In fact, theoretically, the T14 could still fill all their places with 170s.

(Yeah that was true for last year, but they didn't, so I am a bit confused but not super optimistic.)

To the guy with a 173 who got WLed at Penn, you should be a shoo-in if T14s are really scrambling to maintain medians. I hope you make it. (But as a Penn undergrad, I'll say be careful what you wish for.)

Spent the last few hours doing further calculations / analysis related to the impact on admission prospects at top 14 law schools.

Thoughts?

http://lsatblog.blogspot.com/2012/04/ad ... asier.html

I'll be sending that one out to my friends who want act all curious about my cycle haha.

lynch alt?

Spent the last few hours doing further calculations / analysis related to the impact on admission prospects at top 14 law schools.

Thoughts?

http://lsatblog.blogspot.com/2012/04/ad ... asier.html

I would love to know if we could try to ball park the number of 173+ and 3.91+, which represent the highest medians in the country, just to try to calculate the number of kids really competitive for HYS. I'd ballpark that at most there are 1400 kids with a 173+ and of those, probably 25% (at most) have 3.91s or above. So maybe there are 350 kids applying that are at or above every median? Anyone think these numbers are off?

Seriously? What's the big deal? It was a slip. Go back to 4chan.

Edit: A slip that I did three times in one post. A bad habit I guess. Still, I don't think it's that big of a deal and I'm not sure how the year is relevant.

Just giving you crap, bro. Your intellectual prowess is 300 times mine. I have just always been fascinated at the times we stop referring to our peers as kids and start saying "let's hang out" instead of "let's play."

@LSAT Blog
You are my friend n' all, but your math isn't entirely correct . I think you may be using the fact that 91% of the applicant pool is in and then assuming the rest of the 9% will be filled with scores in equal proportions. That is, you modify the current 165-180 applicant group by simply increasing each category by 9%. However, the YTD percentages are a far better indicator, but you can't really use them reliably until you know last year's numbers. Here are the actual numbers for 2010 and 2011, and projected numbers for 2012.

^
I take argument with some his premises. (1) The 2495 is gained by using the most conservative estimate possible for each school, with the exception of Chicago and a few others. (2) As you said, the GPA breakdown isn't known. Last year, approximately 30% of the applicant pool with 170+ scores had less than a 3.5 GPA (Source: LSAC National Decision Profile 2011). (3) The data also don't tell us how many of the 170+ applicant pool enroll that get accepted, how many have criminal convictions, etc.

You're absolutely right, KevinP. I appreciate the correction. Would you please post or PM me the links to sources for that data?

Nevermind, found it, thanks. For those interested:

http://lsacnet.lsac.org/members/Data/PD ... l-2010.pdf
http://lsacnet.lsac.org/members/Data/PD ... l-2011.pdf