phillyboy101 wrote:I am speaking "qualified candidates" strictly in terms of lsat median numbers for law schools. So the chain of assumptions is that if test takers is down 15%, then the number of applicants with 180s is down 15%, the number with 179s is down 15%, the number with 178s is down 15%, etc., basically that the lsat decrease is dispersed evenly among scores, and not that the 15% of test takers who decided not to take the lsat this year would have scored 150 anyway, so it has no effect. So if 80% of test takers score 160+, then if we assume that this cycle, still only 80% of test takers score 160+, only that that number of test takers is down 15%, it seems that it would greatly behoove law schools to wait as long as possible to make admission decisions to minimize the damage that will be inflicted to either their class sizes, medians, or a combination thereof.
While there's probably less people scoring 170+ than there would have been when more people sat for the test, it's not an unfair assumption to guess that with a decrease in test takers, the number of people who'd score worse on the test are forgoing it.
Any guess on how next cycle will look?