Last December's TLS guess curve vs this years

Sandro
Posts: 2526
Joined: Sat Jul 18, 2009 12:12 am

Last December's TLS guess curve vs this years

Postby Sandro » Sun Dec 12, 2010 4:35 pm

So last year it seemed over 75% of TLS projected a -11 curve or less (-10 etc, as referenced from a poll). It came out -14.

October10 was widely thought to be -12 and it was.


This year I would bet the consensus leans towards a -14 depending on # of questions. Seeing as last December's consensus was off by 3 or more what are your thoughts on this years consensus/curve?

Anomaly
Posts: 151
Joined: Sat Nov 06, 2010 7:55 pm

Re: Last December's TLS guess curve vs this years

Postby Anomaly » Sun Dec 12, 2010 4:48 pm

I doubt anyone will change their December curve prediction in light of those irrelevant statistics you just mentioned.

2011Law
Posts: 822
Joined: Wed Jun 30, 2010 3:40 pm

Re: Last December's TLS guess curve vs this years

Postby 2011Law » Sun Dec 12, 2010 4:51 pm

just created a poll. vote or die!

Sandro
Posts: 2526
Joined: Sat Jul 18, 2009 12:12 am

Re: Last December's TLS guess curve vs this years

Postby Sandro » Sun Dec 12, 2010 4:52 pm

Anomaly wrote:I doubt anyone will change their December curve prediction in light of those irrelevant statistics you just mentioned.


Who said anything about getting people to change their predictions? I'm just tying to see what might account for such an off prediction

User avatar
confusedlawyer
Posts: 136
Joined: Thu May 27, 2010 11:21 am

Re: Last December's TLS guess curve vs this years

Postby confusedlawyer » Sun Dec 12, 2010 4:54 pm

-13

LawPlz
Posts: 52
Joined: Sun Feb 28, 2010 10:28 pm

Re: Last December's TLS guess curve vs this years

Postby LawPlz » Sun Dec 12, 2010 4:56 pm

I would have to say -12 or -13

The test being out of 102 should raise the actual number slightly higher as well right?

Anomaly
Posts: 151
Joined: Sat Nov 06, 2010 7:55 pm

Re: Last December's TLS guess curve vs this years

Postby Anomaly » Sun Dec 12, 2010 4:58 pm

Sandro777 wrote:
Anomaly wrote:I doubt anyone will change their December curve prediction in light of those irrelevant statistics you just mentioned.


Who said anything about getting people to change their predictions? I'm just tying to see what might account for such an off prediction


k my fault. I'm hoping -16, but guessing -13.

AshtonB
Posts: 52
Joined: Mon Apr 14, 2008 5:59 pm

Re: Last December's TLS guess curve vs this years

Postby AshtonB » Sun Dec 12, 2010 5:11 pm

-22.

User avatar
Pricer
Posts: 558
Joined: Tue Jan 19, 2010 9:25 pm

Re: Last December's TLS guess curve vs this years

Postby Pricer » Sun Dec 12, 2010 5:45 pm

I heard from a guy that has a friend who knows a guy that overheard a guy from LSAC saying that the curve would be -10 and the entire game section is being thrown out, meaning a raw score of 69/79 is a 170.

User avatar
confusedlawyer
Posts: 136
Joined: Thu May 27, 2010 11:21 am

Re: Last December's TLS guess curve vs this years

Postby confusedlawyer » Sun Dec 12, 2010 5:49 pm

Pricer wrote:I heard from a guy that has a friend who knows a guy that overheard a guy from LSAC saying that the curve would be -10 and the entire game section is being thrown out, meaning a raw score of 69/79 is a 170.

I also heard from a guy that has a friend who knows a guy that overheard a guy from LSAC saying that you eat rice using chopsticks.

CurlyKat
Posts: 38
Joined: Sun May 16, 2010 3:10 pm

Re: Last December's TLS guess curve vs this years

Postby CurlyKat » Sun Dec 12, 2010 6:01 pm

Pricer wrote:I heard from a guy that has a friend who knows a guy that overheard a guy from LSAC saying that the curve would be -10 and the entire game section is being thrown out, meaning a raw score of 69/79 is a 170.



hahaha
i'll drink to that

User avatar
joebloe
Posts: 376
Joined: Mon Nov 08, 2010 6:02 am

Re: Last December's TLS guess curve vs this years

Postby joebloe » Sun Dec 12, 2010 6:27 pm

Pricer wrote:I heard from a guy that has a friend who knows a guy that overheard a guy from LSAC saying that the curve would be -10 and the entire game section is being thrown out, meaning a raw score of 69/79 is a 170.

The sad part is that I want to believe this so badly. :(

Ishotthedeputy
Posts: 26
Joined: Wed Sep 09, 2009 5:03 pm

Re: Last December's TLS guess curve vs this years

Postby Ishotthedeputy » Mon Dec 13, 2010 1:04 am

AshtonB wrote:-22.

I can only hope!

User avatar
typ3
Posts: 1362
Joined: Sun Feb 28, 2010 12:04 am

Re: Last December's TLS guess curve vs this years

Postby typ3 » Mon Dec 13, 2010 1:19 am

My impressions were drastically different than this forum.

I'm guessing the curve will be lower than October's due to the LR and RC sections, LG was a wash between 61 and 60. Not a huge change in difficulty imo.

I'm predicting a -11 curve.

User avatar
lifeaway1985
Posts: 132
Joined: Wed Dec 02, 2009 12:25 am

Re: Last December's TLS guess curve vs this years

Postby lifeaway1985 » Mon Dec 13, 2010 1:54 am

I have a stupid question: when will we know the real curve?

SchopenhauerFTW
Posts: 1793
Joined: Sun Oct 10, 2010 10:22 pm

Re: Last December's TLS guess curve vs this years

Postby SchopenhauerFTW » Mon Dec 13, 2010 2:20 am

lifeaway1985 wrote:I have a stupid question: when will we know the real curve?


When we get our scores back. It includes the raw score conversion chart

User avatar
niederbomb
Posts: 962
Joined: Sat Dec 12, 2009 12:07 pm

Re: Last December's TLS guess curve vs this years

Postby niederbomb » Mon Dec 13, 2010 4:39 am

Here's the problem: Last year, people guessed low because LSAC hadn't given a -14 test in quite a long time. Now, people are more likely to guess higher just because last year's December test was a -14. Thus, comparing this year's predictions to last year's as a way of determining the actual curve may be misleading.

bartleby
Posts: 1315
Joined: Thu May 29, 2008 3:23 am

Re: Last December's TLS guess curve vs this years

Postby bartleby » Mon Dec 13, 2010 4:50 am

niederbomb wrote:Here's the problem: Last year, people guessed low because LSAC hadn't given a -14 test in quite a long time. Now, people are more likely to guess higher just because last year's December test was a -14. Thus, comparing this year's predictions to last year's as a way of determining the actual curve may be misleading.


Yeah. a -10 curve on a 102 question test would truly be crushing, however. If we're talking about trends, why not talk about June 2007 when the "new" test was released and had that ridonk -8 curve.

Dec '10 - 102 questions - "new" test. -10 = -8 on 100 question test. Curiouser and curiouser.

Sandro
Posts: 2526
Joined: Sat Jul 18, 2009 12:12 am

Re: Last December's TLS guess curve vs this years

Postby Sandro » Mon Dec 13, 2010 11:09 am

for those of us that have taken both October and December, I would venture to say that most of us feel there is no way December ends up a lower curve. In fact I think the LG pushes this test way harder. Nobody in Oct really wholly agreed that one section was super hard. This time the majority of people agree this LG was nuts.




Return to “LSAT Prep and Discussion Forum”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: MSNbot Media, Veil of Ignorance and 5 guests