Official List of TLS'ers Predicted Oct. Scores

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incompetentia
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Re: Official List of TLS'ers Predicted Oct. Scores

Postby incompetentia » Fri Oct 29, 2010 9:46 am

It sounds better when it's magic.

Do you believe in magic
In an LSAT score?
When the negative numbers
Give scaled 94?

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Ragged
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Re: Official List of TLS'ers Predicted Oct. Scores

Postby Ragged » Fri Oct 29, 2010 10:13 am

Thx Helm for being a placeholder for the top spot so that I don't have to.

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jwaters
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Re: Official List of TLS'ers Predicted Oct. Scores

Postby jwaters » Fri Oct 29, 2010 10:19 am

163

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longdaysjourney
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Re: Official List of TLS'ers Predicted Oct. Scores

Postby longdaysjourney » Fri Oct 29, 2010 10:26 am

176

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Malcolm8X
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Re: Official List of TLS'ers Predicted Oct. Scores

Postby Malcolm8X » Fri Oct 29, 2010 10:50 am

I don't wanna do this, this is such a jinx!!

rockylo88
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Re: Official List of TLS'ers Predicted Oct. Scores

Postby rockylo88 » Fri Oct 29, 2010 11:26 am

Seems 168 is the new 151...or maybe that means the curve will have what would have been 168 as 151...I hope TLS isn't a representative sample.

(obviously not)

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Malcolm8X
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Re: Official List of TLS'ers Predicted Oct. Scores

Postby Malcolm8X » Fri Oct 29, 2010 12:06 pm

Regression analysis from my best fit line does predict I get a 161 though, I don't mind saying that. I hope to prove statistics wrong today though!

ffonsok
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Re: Official List of TLS'ers Predicted Oct. Scores

Postby ffonsok » Fri Oct 29, 2010 12:28 pm

predicting 160
hoping for 163

rsd16
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Re: Official List of TLS'ers Predicted Oct. Scores

Postby rsd16 » Fri Oct 29, 2010 12:33 pm

I think I'll get a 162. Will post actuals later.

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Godlike
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Re: Official List of TLS'ers Predicted Oct. Scores

Postby Godlike » Fri Oct 29, 2010 12:34 pm

Count me in at a 178

lostone
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Re: Official List of TLS'ers Predicted Oct. Scores

Postby lostone » Fri Oct 29, 2010 12:36 pm

165

akikaze
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Re: Official List of TLS'ers Predicted Oct. Scores

Postby akikaze » Fri Oct 29, 2010 12:56 pm

After exam: 173-174
Now: 170-171 (my confidence has progressively eroded over the past few weeks)

Range of possibilities: 167-177

Best of luck to everyone! I really mean it!

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Clio
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Re: Official List of TLS'ers Predicted Oct. Scores

Postby Clio » Fri Oct 29, 2010 12:59 pm

167

ajmanyjah
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Re: Official List of TLS'ers Predicted Oct. Scores

Postby ajmanyjah » Fri Oct 29, 2010 1:00 pm

-12

bartleby
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Re: Official List of TLS'ers Predicted Oct. Scores

Postby bartleby » Fri Oct 29, 2010 1:39 pm

Range of possibiliy: 158 - 168

JurisDoctorate
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Re: Official List of TLS'ers Predicted Oct. Scores

Postby JurisDoctorate » Fri Oct 29, 2010 1:40 pm

Man, this stuff is getting crazy. I keep thinking about my worst case scenario.

Worst Case Scenario

Curve: -11
LG: -8
RC: -8
LR1: -5
LR2: -5

75/101 = 160
Likelihood: 15%

I really don't see how I could have done any worse.

However, it's fun to think about the best case ;)

Best Case Scenario

Curve: -14
LG: -2 (having got CRAZY lucky on guesses)
RC: -2 (I had extensive background in two of the passages and didn't feel I struggled with any questions)
LR1: -2 (I was right on all of the ones I was certain of and I got half of the hard ones right through educated guessing)
LR2: -2 (I was right on all of the ones I was certain of and I got half of the hard ones right through educated guessing)

93/101 = 175
Likelihood: 5%

I think I would be absolutely floored if it went outside of that range; I think I'd be lucky if it was in the middle:

Good Scenario

Curve: -14
LG: -5
RC: -5
LR1: -3
LR2: -4

84/101 = 167
Likelihood: 30%

Overall

120-159 = 1%
160-166 = 60%
167-175 = 38%
176-180 = 1%
Last edited by JurisDoctorate on Fri Oct 29, 2010 2:06 pm, edited 3 times in total.

nymario
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Re: Official List of TLS'ers Predicted Oct. Scores

Postby nymario » Fri Oct 29, 2010 1:42 pm

Nobody seems to have 174 yet so I predict that for myself.

PinkFloydPerson
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Re: Official List of TLS'ers Predicted Oct. Scores

Postby PinkFloydPerson » Fri Oct 29, 2010 1:54 pm

JurisDoctorate wrote:Lol, I knew that; the whole "not a point less" gave me a pretty good chuckle. It wasn't that devoid from reality considering a few people on TLS who are expecting high 170's. No matter how well you prepare, the thought of being able to predict one's score, within like 5 answers, on a 100 question test seems a bit ridiculous.

Good luck on the 162, I'm pulling for you!


TYVM 8)

thelibear
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Re: Official List of TLS'ers Predicted Oct. Scores

Postby thelibear » Fri Oct 29, 2010 2:11 pm

161 is my guess. I'd like to be optimistic and think I scored higher, but unfortunately this test didn't feel so great. I was in the high 160's on PTS :\

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Helmholtz
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Re: Official List of TLS'ers Predicted Oct. Scores

Postby Helmholtz » Sat Oct 30, 2010 3:18 am

Got my 180. Thanks, LSAC. :)

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Blumpbeef
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Re: Official List of TLS'ers Predicted Oct. Scores

Postby Blumpbeef » Sat Oct 30, 2010 3:42 am

Helmholtz wrote:Got my 180. Thanks, LSAC. :)


5 minutes to post a screenshot or of your score or you get the Ban Hammer.



Oh, and, congrats.

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Malcolm8X
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Re: Official List of TLS'ers Predicted Oct. Scores

Postby Malcolm8X » Sat Oct 30, 2010 4:50 am

Malcolm8X wrote:Regression analysis from my best fit line does predict I get a 161 though, I don't mind saying that. I hope to prove statistics wrong today though!


Damn. There might be something to this statistics thing after all. It was on the money. :roll: I was hoping for at least a 165 though. Ugh, I need to see these damn links.

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Ragged
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Re: Official List of TLS'ers Predicted Oct. Scores

Postby Ragged » Sat Oct 30, 2010 4:21 pm

174, but I feel my 177 prediction was not an overestimation. The one question I changed from right to wrong and the very first LG question that I somehow missed fucked me up, otherwise I would be right on the money.

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Ragged
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Re: Official List of TLS'ers Predicted Oct. Scores

Postby Ragged » Sat Oct 30, 2010 6:05 pm

JD, please update the OP with the actual scores vr. expectation. Will be fun, unless you are too upset to do it.




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