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SchopenhauerFTW wrote:I definitely bubbled in the wrong answer choice for two LR questions, and had to rush through the LG I picked to do last, which was super painful because those games were not terribly difficult. Trying to get through them at my usual speed felt not unlike running across O'Hare to catch a departing flight while wearing clown shoes. I went from preparing myself for a retake to actually registering for the December test within a week.

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OklahomasOK wrote:The further away I get, the better I feel. June was a bitch for me, I always felt some uneasy optimism as I got closer to the release date. I knew I did just OK then but held out for some nonexistent miracle.

October was a different animal for me, everything clicked. I bombed June games, but on October, I diagrammed everything correctly the first try, even artifacts. I had ~8 minutes left to go back and double check almost all of the difficult questions, I'm sure I missed no more than 1 on LG. The first LR was exceptionally simple, I'm confident I missed no more than -3 or -4. RC is kinda a crap shoot, I missed -3 on June, which is great, but I felt terrible about it. I feel pretty good about this one, so -5 at worst. Second LR was a bit tougher, but anything more than -4 is over estimating my mistakes.

Worst case I get -13 to -15 which put me above a 165, which would make me very happy. Best case I'm sitting low 170's.

DrackedaryMaster wrote:This may not mean anything in the end, and I'm sure someone else probably already pointed this out but at least it gives me somehing to do while I battle PT withdrawl syndrome. At least I hope the raw score pattern holds up.

Okay, after looking at the raw score charts, I noticed some very consistent data between the June and October LSATs and the magical 170/160 thresholds. Between the two tests, the raw score needed to get 170 on the October test has not been higher than (1) more correct answer choice in over 16 YEARS from the June test. Most of the time, the raw score requirements either stayed the same or went down for the October test. In the rare cases it went up, the lowest raw score required to hit 170/160 never went up by more than 1, except in 1992 and 1994 for 170 hopefuls and 1999 for 160 hopefuls) December, on the other hand has some pretty wild swings. But it looks like the pattern for June and Sept/Oct has held consistent except for the noted exceptions.

Based on this, I think it is somewhat probable that the raw score required to hit 170 will be no higher than 88. This means the curve should be no harsher than -13, or (-12 if a question gets thrown out). Otherwise, it will be the first time in 16 years that this raw score trend between June and September/October will have been broken.