lawpanther wrote:^ Wow. (to the info above Mike's post)
question for all or mike/karen:
So, what does that do to any margin of error? Say a school's gpa or lsat floor is "known" to be a specific number. isn't that based on historical data, so in the case of a school like duke, over time, a pretty reliable picture of their admits is constructed?
But in the last few years, things have been changing so fast that is it possible to say that we still have an accurate idea of where these floors are, especially given splitter and reverse splitter friendly schools?
I'm thinking, given a +/- 10% of applicants being represented, and given how fast these floors might be changing, what are the odds that the outliers are represented on LSN? Is it likely, given the relatively small sample size, that floors are currently below what is represented on LSN over the last, say, 2 years? Or, is the the case that, given the higher caliber of applicants, the floor is pretty much the same, and we can assume that if someone get on with low numbers it's because they likely had a better-than-average app?
lawpanther. I think about this often because we obviously will be helping people each year with a score below a school's apparent "floor"
My guess is that we will see more schools admit many more people at their floor, but probably not dip below it. So if Chicago admitted (amking these numbers up) 3 people last year with a 3.0, they may admit 15-20 this year.
Beyond the psychological reasons for not going below-floor, often these lines exist because of Bar Passage correlation studies. In other words, below a 152 LSAT you see a significant drop from your school in passing the Bar. When a school has a recent graduate fail the bar it is often a double whammy because it hits them immediately in USNWR and also often in the employment rates.
My guess is that floors might be lower for most schools than LSN says, but that is really hard to know for certain.