Wait. Why do you think less overall applicants?
Well I was assuming there would be, following last years trend. But it looks like I may be wrong with the increased test takers.[/quote]
Let me be blunt. This is something about these message boards that has driven me crazy for about 10 years -- heck it was one of the reasons I started the company. You basically just posted a statement "though there is a decrease in overall applicants" attributed it to statements about this cycle, and stated it as a fact. And you want to be a lawyer? The problem is one person reads that, then says it somewhere else, then someone says it on reddit, etc. You see where I am going with this right? Applicants will 99% likely be up this cycle. So I'm not even sure how to answer your question...I know this sounds hostile it's not meant to be, I just don't have a real starting point. Happy to answer it the way it is worded (which would then be different and much more likely a bad and false answer), or the way I have posited. Just let me know.
completely understand. Indeed, for the sake of brevity, I actually deleted “I believe” after that clause in my OP, but now I understand that it was a mistake, lol. So, pretend I inserted “I believe” in my OP, and please give me your thoughts (even though my “belief” may be incorrect
Okay well first let me please help you here some. LSAT test-takers and first time test takers are way up, to levels we haven't seen in years https://www.lsac.org/lsacresources/data ... ministered
). Forum attendance is also up and its been on a long glide path downward, so this is even more rare. This all gives us early data on APPLICANTS. But we have zero reason to know if these extra applicants will apply to more schools per individual. So your thinking seems kinda backwards (although in the scheme of TLS thinking you didn't ask me 6,000 times from 500 different accounts 87 days in a row if we are in a counter-cycle, so all good)
What we can say, with a great deal of confidence, is there will be more applicants and thus highly likely more applications as well. This tends to mean more people are admitted early, and, assuming a similar number of seats to fill per law school (which may or may not be a fair assumption basically most law schools would love to increase class size as long as they don't expense medians), a more competitive cycle in general and will be even more so Jan- March as admissions deans are fearful of over-enrollment.
But we will get a whole bunch of data around Dec. 15th and can make much better cycle predictions then.