CBX: Essay Predictions

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robinhoodOO

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CBX: Essay Predictions

Postby robinhoodOO » Fri Jul 24, 2015 9:15 pm

Here are my predictions:

(1) Riparian Water Rights (No, seriously, water rights are a big deal in California)
(2) Community Property re ERISA & CALPERS Distributions
(3) UCC Articles: 3-9 (Look them up!)
(4) ConLaw: Amendment 27
(5) Bankruptcy law (they will throw you a hail mary, and this is it)
(6) CA Tribal Law. Know it

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brotherdarkness

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Re: CBX: Essay Predictions

Postby brotherdarkness » Fri Jul 24, 2015 9:33 pm

For those curious, the actual predictions according to Prof. Heilman are:
(1) Professional Responsibility
(2) Criminal Law & Procedure
(3) Community Property
(4) Constitutional Law
(5) Evidence
(6) Torts

"Possible" topics are:
(a) Real Property
(b) Business Associations
(c) Civil Procedure

"Unlikely" topics are:
(a) Contracts
(b) Wills & Trusts
(c) Remedies

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Re: CBX: Essay Predictions

Postby gaagoots » Fri Jul 24, 2015 9:40 pm

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Last edited by gaagoots on Wed Sep 02, 2015 9:07 pm, edited 2 times in total.

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Re: CBX: Essay Predictions

Postby robinhoodOO » Fri Jul 24, 2015 9:43 pm

gaagoots wrote:
brotherdarkness wrote:For those curious, the actual predictions according to Prof. Heilman are:
(1) Professional Responsibility
(2) Criminal Law & Procedure
(3) Community Property
(4) Constitutional Law
(5) Evidence
(6) Torts

"Possible" topics are:
(a) Real Property
(b) Business Associations
(c) Civil Procedure

"Unlikely" topics are:
(a) Contracts
(b) Wills & Trusts
(c) Remedies


I have her predictions too and I like how she broke it all down.

I'm thinking if there is a murder, payback will be some weird assed essay on another subject that day since everyone seems to do well on murder fact patterns.


I've seen those. People are definitely guessing murder w/defenses and/or inchoate crimes.

I've also heard ConLaw to focus on 1st Amendment or Equal Protection.

Plus CP

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Re: CBX: Essay Predictions

Postby gaagoots » Fri Jul 24, 2015 9:45 pm

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Last edited by gaagoots on Wed Sep 02, 2015 9:05 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: CBX: Essay Predictions

Postby robinhoodOO » Fri Jul 24, 2015 9:53 pm

gaagoots wrote:
robinhoodOO wrote:Here are my predictions:

(1) Riparian Water Rights (No, seriously, water rights are a big deal in California)
(2) Community Property re ERISA & CALPERS Distributions
(3) UCC Articles: 3-9 (Look them up!)
(4) ConLaw: Amendment 27
(5) Bankruptcy law (they will throw you a hail mary, and this is it)
(6) CA Tribal Law. Know it



Speaking of tribal law, Costco in WA is buying weed from a WA tribe to sell at WA Costco's. It's my understanding the Feds still haven't legalized it. So what rationale do they use for Fed tribal lands growing weed?


The Feds just refuse to enforce the law, or they could bust anyone right now...

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Re: CBX: Essay Predictions

Postby smokeylarue » Fri Jul 24, 2015 11:41 pm

brotherdarkness wrote:For those curious, the actual predictions according to Prof. Heilman are:
(1) Professional Responsibility
(2) Criminal Law & Procedure
(3) Community Property
(4) Constitutional Law
(5) Evidence
(6) Torts

"Possible" topics are:
(a) Real Property
(b) Business Associations
(c) Civil Procedure

"Unlikely" topics are:
(a) Contracts
(b) Wills & Trusts
(c) Remedies


Hmm... interesting.. Pretty sure that other dude with the YouTube predictions predicted Wills/Trusts to be on it.

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Re: CBX: Essay Predictions

Postby gaagoots » Fri Jul 24, 2015 11:57 pm

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Last edited by gaagoots on Tue Sep 01, 2015 2:36 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: CBX: Essay Predictions

Postby robinhoodOO » Sat Jul 25, 2015 1:06 am

gaagoots wrote:
smokeylarue wrote:
brotherdarkness wrote:For those curious, the actual predictions according to Prof. Heilman are:
(1) Professional Responsibility
(2) Criminal Law & Procedure
(3) Community Property
(4) Constitutional Law
(5) Evidence
(6) Torts

"Possible" topics are:
(a) Real Property
(b) Business Associations
(c) Civil Procedure

"Unlikely" topics are:
(a) Contracts
(b) Wills & Trusts
(c) Remedies


Hmm... interesting.. Pretty sure that other dude with the YouTube predictions predicted Wills/Trusts to be on it.


They like estate planning subjects in the PT, wouldn't be surprised to see a complex trust or probate tucked away in the State of Columbia.


Ya, Youtube guy was predicting a CP/Wills or Trusts crossover.

I also read someone saying they've been testing remedies so hard, he wouldn't be surprised to see another heavy remedies essay or 2

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brotherdarkness

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Re: CBX: Essay Predictions

Postby brotherdarkness » Sat Jul 25, 2015 1:10 am

I feel like remedies is guaranteed to be on the exam; maybe not a full essay, but it's so easy to incorporate into a cross-over that I don't see why it wouldn't be there.

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Re: CBX: Essay Predictions

Postby florentine » Sat Jul 25, 2015 2:27 am

Got a link to the Heilman predictions? Saw the Barguru predictions and he said Community Property/Wills/Trusts crossover.

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Re: CBX: Essay Predictions

Postby redblueyellow » Sat Jul 25, 2015 2:45 am

Yea, seriously, if remedies isn't going to be on this, I'm going to be upset. Got destroyed last time around because of poor time management and anxiety during the question. I knew the material (I think), but couldn't put it down on paper in the time I allocated for myself.

I think I'm at least a 65 on remedies right now.

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Re: CBX: Essay Predictions

Postby redblueyellow » Sat Jul 25, 2015 2:49 am

robinhoodOO wrote:Here are my predictions:

(1) Riparian Water Rights (No, seriously, water rights are a big deal in California)
(2) Community Property re ERISA & CALPERS Distributions
(3) UCC Articles: 3-9 (Look them up!)
(4) ConLaw: Amendment 27
(5) Bankruptcy law (they will throw you a hail mary, and this is it)
(6) CA Tribal Law. Know it


Yea. No. Pls.

1. I could probably get a little bit familiar with this, but I hardly have any information on it.
2. I'd have to figure out how ERISA and CALPERS distributions are allocated
3. wtf?
4. I had to google this one....
5. wtf?
6. lol

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Re: CBX: Essay Predictions

Postby redblueyellow » Sat Jul 25, 2015 2:57 am

This is from One-Timers on their Facebook page:


"One-Timers Personal Bar Review Course
July 14 at 7:11pm · Edited ·
One-Timers Predictions for the July 2015 California Bar Exam

CA Civil Procedure (Pleadings, Erie, Diversity, Choice of Law)
Criminal Law (Murder, Voluntary Manslaughter, Self-Defense, Accomplice)
Real Property (Easements, Landlord-Tenant, Notice, Recording Statute)
CA Evidence (Standard Evidence issues)
Con Law (Presidential Powers, Congressional Powers, Dormant Commerce Clause)
P.R. (Fees, Conflicting of Interest, Sex with a Client, Duty to Communicate)

The examiners will not test on Trusts, Remedies, or Contracts. You can take that to the bank$"

CA evidence and CA civ pro is just not cool on the same exam.

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Re: CBX: Essay Predictions

Postby brotherdarkness » Sat Jul 25, 2015 2:59 am

redblueyellow wrote:This is from One-Timers on their Facebook page:


"One-Timers Personal Bar Review Course
July 14 at 7:11pm · Edited ·
One-Timers Predictions for the July 2015 California Bar Exam

CA Civil Procedure (Pleadings, Erie, Diversity, Choice of Law)
Criminal Law (Murder, Voluntary Manslaughter, Self-Defense, Accomplice)
Real Property (Easements, Landlord-Tenant, Notice, Recording Statute)
CA Evidence (Standard Evidence issues)
Con Law (Presidential Powers, Congressional Powers, Dormant Commerce Clause)
P.R. (Fees, Conflicting of Interest, Sex with a Client, Duty to Communicate)

The examiners will not test on Trusts, Remedies, or Contracts. You can take that to the bank$"

CA evidence and CA civ pro is just not cool on the same exam.


Good god that would be an absolute nightmare. I'd bomb multiple essays and be back again for more in February.

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Re: CBX: Essay Predictions

Postby florentine » Sat Jul 25, 2015 3:18 am

brotherdarkness wrote:
redblueyellow wrote:This is from One-Timers on their Facebook page:


"One-Timers Personal Bar Review Course
July 14 at 7:11pm · Edited ·
One-Timers Predictions for the July 2015 California Bar Exam

CA Civil Procedure (Pleadings, Erie, Diversity, Choice of Law)
Criminal Law (Murder, Voluntary Manslaughter, Self-Defense, Accomplice)
Real Property (Easements, Landlord-Tenant, Notice, Recording Statute)
CA Evidence (Standard Evidence issues)
Con Law (Presidential Powers, Congressional Powers, Dormant Commerce Clause)
P.R. (Fees, Conflicting of Interest, Sex with a Client, Duty to Communicate)

The examiners will not test on Trusts, Remedies, or Contracts. You can take that to the bank$"

CA evidence and CA civ pro is just not cool on the same exam.


Good god that would be an absolute nightmare. I'd bomb multiple essays and be back again for more in February.


I sincerely hope this is a joke.

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Re: CBX: Essay Predictions

Postby DesperadoOfColumbia » Sat Jul 25, 2015 3:34 am

robinhoodOO wrote:
gaagoots wrote:
robinhoodOO wrote:Here are my predictions:

(1) Riparian Water Rights (No, seriously, water rights are a big deal in California)
(2) Community Property re ERISA & CALPERS Distributions
(3) UCC Articles: 3-9 (Look them up!)
(4) ConLaw: Amendment 27
(5) Bankruptcy law (they will throw you a hail mary, and this is it)
(6) CA Tribal Law. Know it



Speaking of tribal law, Costco in WA is buying weed from a WA tribe to sell at WA Costco's. It's my understanding the Feds still haven't legalized it. So what rationale do they use for Fed tribal lands growing weed?


The Feds just refuse to enforce the law, or they could bust anyone right now...


Worked for a CJA attorney (regular intern and R9) almost my whole law school career until I got poached to the east coast, in WD and ED of WA, US Attorneys aren't going after small timers at all, I mean at all. Bigger fish to fry. Meth production and sale, darknet shit, oxy trafficking, surprising limited amount of heroin (some day I'm gonna do a Meth/Heroin divide chart like the IHOP/Waffle House divide chart). Nobody cares about weed because like, manpower is limited, there's a huge legal presence and huge black market, and fed. weed possession is a misdemeanor anyway and out of all the AUSAs I don't know anyone who's zealous enough to go after that.

I mean, you know, unless you're an immigrant possessing over 30 grams.

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Re: CBX: Essay Predictions

Postby redblueyellow » Sat Jul 25, 2015 3:36 am

florentine wrote:
brotherdarkness wrote:
redblueyellow wrote:This is from One-Timers on their Facebook page:


"One-Timers Personal Bar Review Course
July 14 at 7:11pm · Edited ·
One-Timers Predictions for the July 2015 California Bar Exam

CA Civil Procedure (Pleadings, Erie, Diversity, Choice of Law)
Criminal Law (Murder, Voluntary Manslaughter, Self-Defense, Accomplice)
Real Property (Easements, Landlord-Tenant, Notice, Recording Statute)
CA Evidence (Standard Evidence issues)
Con Law (Presidential Powers, Congressional Powers, Dormant Commerce Clause)
P.R. (Fees, Conflicting of Interest, Sex with a Client, Duty to Communicate)

The examiners will not test on Trusts, Remedies, or Contracts. You can take that to the bank$"

CA evidence and CA civ pro is just not cool on the same exam.


Good god that would be an absolute nightmare. I'd bomb multiple essays and be back again for more in February.


I sincerely hope this is a joke.


I mean, it's not *terrible*.

CA Civil Procedure is basically a wash, so I'll agree with you guys there. Unless the rest of the rules are FRCP and bs-able, screw this question.

Crim: most of the murder stuff is subjective anyways, so just make you put a lot of facts and analysis into the degree section and hope for the best. That's how my crim professor taught it, at least.

Real property would probably be atrocious if there was stupid-ass conveyance and record language and we have to figure what goes where and such. But the rules and stuff for easements, landlord-tenant stuff isn't too bad.

CA Evidence: lol, you guys are right

Con Law: alright, you guys are right again. dormant commerce clause is definitely doable, but hell if I know presidential and congressional powers.

PR: the problem with PR is that since it's basically a given, everyone has these super precise rule statements and if you make one tiny little error, you now get a 55. on top of that, i have conflicting rules from my commercial stuff, so that's confusing as well.

EDIT: On second thought, this is extremely voluminous and I would get bogged down. You guys are right. It's pretty terrible.

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Re: CBX: Essay Predictions

Postby robinhoodOO » Sat Jul 25, 2015 2:08 pm

DesperadoOfColumbia wrote:
robinhoodOO wrote:
gaagoots wrote:
robinhoodOO wrote:Here are my predictions:

(1) Riparian Water Rights (No, seriously, water rights are a big deal in California)
(2) Community Property re ERISA & CALPERS Distributions
(3) UCC Articles: 3-9 (Look them up!)
(4) ConLaw: Amendment 27
(5) Bankruptcy law (they will throw you a hail mary, and this is it)
(6) CA Tribal Law. Know it



Speaking of tribal law, Costco in WA is buying weed from a WA tribe to sell at WA Costco's. It's my understanding the Feds still haven't legalized it. So what rationale do they use for Fed tribal lands growing weed?


The Feds just refuse to enforce the law, or they could bust anyone right now...


Worked for a CJA attorney (regular intern and R9) almost my whole law school career until I got poached to the east coast, in WD and ED of WA, US Attorneys aren't going after small timers at all, I mean at all. Bigger fish to fry. Meth production and sale, darknet shit, oxy trafficking, surprising limited amount of heroin (some day I'm gonna do a Meth/Heroin divide chart like the IHOP/Waffle House divide chart). Nobody cares about weed because like, manpower is limited, there's a huge legal presence and huge black market, and fed. weed possession is a misdemeanor anyway and out of all the AUSAs I don't know anyone who's zealous enough to go after that.

I mean, you know, unless you're an immigrant possessing over 30 grams.


That's what I'm getting at. The Fed CAN enforce those laws, but they don't. The other poster seemed to suggest the Fed couldn't even it it wanted to. It's not uncommon for the feds to do a huge raid on massive pot grows in northern california.

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Re: CBX: Essay Predictions

Postby robinhoodOO » Sat Jul 25, 2015 2:09 pm

redblueyellow wrote:
robinhoodOO wrote:Here are my predictions:

(1) Riparian Water Rights (No, seriously, water rights are a big deal in California)
(2) Community Property re ERISA & CALPERS Distributions
(3) UCC Articles: 3-9 (Look them up!)
(4) ConLaw: Amendment 27
(5) Bankruptcy law (they will throw you a hail mary, and this is it)
(6) CA Tribal Law. Know it


Yea. No. Pls.

1. I could probably get a little bit familiar with this, but I hardly have any information on it.
2. I'd have to figure out how ERISA and CALPERS distributions are allocated
3. wtf?
4. I had to google this one....
5. wtf?
6. lol


I thought everyone could use a laugh considering we've been beating ourselves to death studying for this fucking thing...haha

I would actually love it if they tested BK (even though it's not possible). I clerked at a bk firm and it's the ONE area where I know my shit

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Re: CBX: Essay Predictions

Postby InTheWideLand I Walk » Sun Jul 26, 2015 4:52 pm

robinhoodOO wrote:Here are my predictions:

(1) Riparian Water Rights (No, seriously, water rights are a big deal in California)
(2) Community Property re ERISA & CALPERS Distributions
(3) UCC Articles: 3-9 (Look them up!)
(4) ConLaw: Amendment 27
(5) Bankruptcy law (they will throw you a hail mary, and this is it)
(6) CA Tribal Law. Know it


no, it will be:

1- pure securities racehorse issue-spotter. this will set a nice tone for the rest of the exam.
2- civ pro, prompt says "answer under CA law" but you have to apply the eerie doctrine and realize u actually have to apply federal law so there are no CA rules (this apparently happened before on an exam). rules will be compulsory joinder, permissive counterclaim, supplemental jurisdiction, compulsory counterclaim, request for medical examination, discovery, and interlocutory appeals. it will be a racehorse exam you will probably not be able to finish on time.
3- contracts (UCC)/torts /property crossover question. question just asks "what claims can person 1 bring against person 2"
4- invasion of privacy/false imprisonment
5- the question will ask about riparian water rights, but there are 6 hidden constitutional law issues that you have to spot (i.e. equal protection/substantive due process, ect..)- will resemble February 2014 essay 4 in many ways.
6- a bunch of stuff will happen in the facts, the facts will be 5/7 of a page long, and the question will be "what actions of person x constituted violations of the fair housing act?"

and PT 1, task memo will say "draft 100 special interrogatory questions". 3/4 of the people will just start writing a memorandum of law, and they will fail leaving only 25% of people to pass, and those few people will get 80+ percent. don't ever go against the task memo, ever.

and pt 2 will be an objective memorandum of law involving constitutional law, give you 10 cases, but 5 cases are irrelevant, and the task memo will say you have to figure out implicitly which cases are "relevant" or else you automatically fail the exam.

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Re: CBX: Essay Predictions

Postby InTheWideLand I Walk » Tue Jul 28, 2015 4:18 pm

Way for the state bar to throw a curve ball at us.

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Re: CBX: Essay Predictions

Postby diowad » Tue Jul 28, 2015 9:07 pm

Our MEE was Torts, Civ Pro, K's, Corporations, Crim Law, and Trusts. So I think 5/6 were accurately predicted by the spreadsheet thing I've seen floating around.

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Re: CBX: Essay Predictions

Postby robinhoodOO » Tue Jul 28, 2015 11:37 pm

diowad wrote:Our MEE was Torts, Civ Pro, K's, Corporations, Crim Law, and Trusts. So I think 5/6 were accurately predicted by the spreadsheet thing I've seen floating around.


CA's first 3 were CrimPro, Real Prop, and Fed CivPro. Nothing too crazy

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Re: CBX: Essay Predictions

Postby InTheWideLand I Walk » Tue Jul 28, 2015 11:54 pm

InTheWideLand I Walk wrote:
robinhoodOO wrote:Here are my predictions:

(1) Riparian Water Rights (No, seriously, water rights are a big deal in California)
(2) Community Property re ERISA & CALPERS Distributions
(3) UCC Articles: 3-9 (Look them up!)
(4) ConLaw: Amendment 27
(5) Bankruptcy law (they will throw you a hail mary, and this is it)
(6) CA Tribal Law. Know it


no, it will be:

1- pure securities racehorse issue-spotter. this will set a nice tone for the rest of the exam.
2- civ pro, prompt says "answer under CA law" but you have to apply the eerie doctrine and realize u actually have to apply federal law so there are no CA rules (this apparently happened before on an exam). rules will be compulsory joinder, permissive counterclaim, supplemental jurisdiction, compulsory counterclaim, request for medical examination, discovery, and interlocutory appeals. it will be a racehorse exam you will probably not be able to finish on time.
3- contracts (UCC)/torts /property crossover question. question just asks "what claims can person 1 bring against person 2"
4- invasion of privacy/false imprisonment
5- the question will ask about riparian water rights, but there are 6 hidden constitutional law issues that you have to spot (i.e. equal protection/substantive due process, ect..)- will resemble February 2014 essay 4 in many ways.
6- a bunch of stuff will happen in the facts, the facts will be 5/7 of a page long, and the question will be "what actions of person x constituted violations of the fair housing act?"

and PT 1, task memo will say "draft 100 special interrogatory questions". 3/4 of the people will just start writing a memorandum of law, and they will fail leaving only 25% of people to pass, and those few people will get 80+ percent. don't ever go against the task memo, ever.

and pt 2 will be an objective memorandum of law involving constitutional law, give you 10 cases, but 5 cases are irrelevant, and the task memo will say you have to figure out implicitly which cases are "relevant" or else you automatically fail the exam.


well, I guessed property and civ pro right, AND I knew there would be interrogatories on the PT.

so I guess were expecting contracts and con law thursday. hopefully not fair housing act on the essay, although u had to know it inside and out for the july 2014 MBE.



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