Not sure if this question has an answer, but, is there a percentile that we need to hit to guarantee passing? For instance, if I perform better than 25% is that a guaranteed pass, 30 percentile, 40 percentile?
Last July you needed to be better than about 35% of takers to get a 135 on each section. Keep in mind, last July had the worst scores the bar exam has seen in at least a decade, so it'll likely be closer to 30% or a little bit lower if things go back to normal.
The important thing to remember is that this all really hinges on how everyone does on the MBE since that's what Texas normalizes their scores against for the other sections. They make sure that each section has the exact same average score as the MBE and the same standard deviation as the MBE. So if we do well on the MBE and the average score is higher than last summer we should be much better off.
If you want to look at what the score distribution from last summer it's here: https://www.ncbex.org/publications/statistics/mbe-statistics/
The bottom of that page also shows how the average score has changed over the years and you can see that last summer was nearly 4 points below average. Fingers crossed that was just an outlier.