Scaling and the California Bar Exam

s1m4
Posts: 202
Joined: Tue Jan 12, 2010 10:04 pm

Re: Scaling and the California Bar Exam

Postby s1m4 » Thu May 14, 2015 11:50 pm

Biotech wrote:So an easier MBE and more people pass CBX. Why the special brand of torture if it all comes down to that? (I missed Feb 2014 by 3 points. I'm especially bitter about that.) Statistically, it looks like I'm unlikely to have passed this time since my score dropped in July with the curve.


The point of all these stat analyzing is that exam is a crapshoot, possibly based on some quota outside our control, have faith.

gaagoots
Posts: 212
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2010 12:01 am

Re: Scaling and the California Bar Exam

Postby gaagoots » Thu May 14, 2015 11:54 pm

s1m4 wrote:So any predictions as to whether Cali will push the mean MBE up to 137? Possible?


Only data I have is a screen shot I took of my Adaptibar averages next to CA state benchmark on Feb 25, 2015. I excluded Civ Pro because Adaptibars Civ Pro was just...awful, nothing like the real deal. So the 6 subject average on MBE day for the state was 127 raw. For July 2014 the average was 128 raw. A lot of people have reported they were pleasantly surprised the Civ Pro was so straight forward.

So it isn't as bad as a group (of CA Adaptibar users) for the average on game day. Whether that reflects the real deal or not, it's the only thing I can come up with.

s1m4
Posts: 202
Joined: Tue Jan 12, 2010 10:04 pm

Re: Scaling and the California Bar Exam

Postby s1m4 » Thu May 14, 2015 11:58 pm

gaagoots wrote:
s1m4 wrote:So any predictions as to whether Cali will push the mean MBE up to 137? Possible?


Only data I have is a screen shot I took of my Adaptibar averages next to CA state benchmark on Feb 25, 2015. I excluded Civ Pro because Adaptibars Civ Pro was just...awful, nothing like the real deal. So the 6 subject average on MBE day for the state was 127 raw. For July 2014 the average was 128 raw. A lot of people have reported they were pleasantly surprised the Civ Pro was so straight forward.

So it isn't as bad as a group (of CA Adaptibar users) for the average on game day. Whether that reflects the real deal or not, it's the only thing I can come up with.


Is cali factored into the mean mbe ncbx statistics published after each exam? If so, mean mbe may be higher than 136.2, so maybe we are panicking w/o reason.

gaagoots
Posts: 212
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2010 12:01 am

Re: Scaling and the California Bar Exam

Postby gaagoots » Fri May 15, 2015 12:06 am

s1m4 wrote:
gaagoots wrote:
s1m4 wrote:So any predictions as to whether Cali will push the mean MBE up to 137? Possible?


Only data I have is a screen shot I took of my Adaptibar averages next to CA state benchmark on Feb 25, 2015. I excluded Civ Pro because Adaptibars Civ Pro was just...awful, nothing like the real deal. So the 6 subject average on MBE day for the state was 127 raw. For July 2014 the average was 128 raw. A lot of people have reported they were pleasantly surprised the Civ Pro was so straight forward.

So it isn't as bad as a group (of CA Adaptibar users) for the average on game day. Whether that reflects the real deal or not, it's the only thing I can come up with.


Is cali factored into the mean mbe ncbx statistics published after each exam? If so, mean mbe may be higher than 136.2, so maybe we are panicking w/o reason.


We aren't the dumb ones, the NCBE can pick on the other states. Don't panick, it's your last night, relax and think positive.

Feb 2009 was a brutal scale, but this calculator isn't so horrible. Just put your guess of MBE scores as a total in one box rather than guess individual subjects. You didn't need 65's to offset two 55 PTs, that is with a 150 raw MBE.

Good luck.

http://www.davislegal.net/calc/
Last edited by gaagoots on Fri May 15, 2015 12:08 am, edited 1 time in total.

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L’Étranger
Posts: 315
Joined: Thu Feb 23, 2012 4:27 am

Re: Scaling and the California Bar Exam

Postby L’Étranger » Fri May 15, 2015 12:08 am

s1m4 wrote:So any predictions as to whether Cali will push the mean MBE up to 137? Possible?


It's possible. I think also, they use our MBE's in California rather than the national mean. I was using the recently reported mean scaled MBE as a proxy.




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