PANIC!! 1L Fall Grade Waiting Thread - 2012

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BuckinghamB
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Re: PANIC!! 1L Fall Grade Waiting Thread - 2012

Postby BuckinghamB » Fri Jan 18, 2013 3:52 pm

nucky thompson wrote:
hibiki wrote:
nucky thompson wrote:i am terrible with numbers - based on probabilities could someone help me out with this...


last year, class of 250 students, top 5 percent was around 3.7

if this year's class has 200 students - what is the likely impact on gpa percentiles?


If the distribution of grades is the same, why would it change? The number of people in the top 5 per cent would change but I don't think the percentage itself would.



Like I said, I am bad with numbers - but the thinking is this - The curve/distribution per class remains the same....but if there are 50 less students in the class, then the liklihood that a student gets A's in every class seems like it would go down as well.


So, say last year's class had 100 people in it with a curve that requires 10% get a 3.7. Say this year's class has 50 people with the same grading distribution. The number of people getting 3.7's is less this year (10 and 5, respectively), but the likelihood of getting an 3.7 is exactly the same (10%) each year, assuming the same distribution is used. Make sense?

Edit: I thought you were talking about an individual class rather than a total GPA.

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hoos89
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Re: PANIC!! 1L Fall Grade Waiting Thread - 2012

Postby hoos89 » Fri Jan 18, 2013 5:07 pm

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Last edited by hoos89 on Sat Apr 11, 2015 7:06 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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dannynoonan87
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Re: PANIC!! 1L Fall Grade Waiting Thread - 2012

Postby dannynoonan87 » Fri Jan 18, 2013 5:38 pm

If

top 25% ≥ 3.11

top 10% ≥ 3.45

where do I stand at 3.33 ?

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dingbat
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Re: PANIC!! 1L Fall Grade Waiting Thread - 2012

Postby dingbat » Fri Jan 18, 2013 5:54 pm

dannynoonan87 wrote:If

top 25% ≥ 3.11

top 10% ≥ 3.45

where do I stand at 3.33 ?

Top 15-20

To the post above that, with a smaller sample size the curve won't be as smooth, but it shouldn't be radically different. In the abaence of further data just figure on it being more or less the same

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indigomachine
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Re: PANIC!! 1L Fall Grade Waiting Thread - 2012

Postby indigomachine » Fri Jan 18, 2013 6:57 pm

B+ in torts.

I'd be more cool with it if not for the abysmal civ pro grade behind it.

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BuckinghamB
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Re: PANIC!! 1L Fall Grade Waiting Thread - 2012

Postby BuckinghamB » Fri Jan 18, 2013 6:58 pm

hoos89 wrote:That's not how probability works though. Sure the likelihood of getting a certain gpa might be the same, but with fewer people that's fewer chances of getting it as well and it's statistically more likely that you will see swings one way or the other at the very top or bottom. Think of it this way: the more times you flip a coin, the closer you will get to exactly 50% heads (regression to the mean). If you have 1000 people in the class and a 10% chance for a specific outcome, it is more likely that 10% of the people will have that outcome than if you have 200 people in a class and the same chance for that outcome. Just because the probability is 10% doesn't mean the outcome will be 10%.


Not disagreeing with you, but would it be that much different an outcome? I mean, I would think 200 people would still yield a percentage that's not a gross departure from the expected percentage. I'm not a statistician by any means, though. I might be wrong.

Edit: scooped.

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hoos89
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Re: PANIC!! 1L Fall Grade Waiting Thread - 2012

Postby hoos89 » Fri Jan 18, 2013 7:03 pm

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Bronck
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Re: PANIC!! 1L Fall Grade Waiting Thread - 2012

Postby Bronck » Fri Jan 18, 2013 7:06 pm

Still nothing from my Ks prof. I'm guessing movement over the weekend is extremely unlikely?

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smaug_
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Re: PANIC!! 1L Fall Grade Waiting Thread - 2012

Postby smaug_ » Fri Jan 18, 2013 7:14 pm

Bronck wrote:Still nothing from my Ks prof. I'm guessing movement over the weekend is extremely unlikely?


I'm not sure. There are still sections out there without grades. Grades went up a little later than this, but considering it is Friday, I don't have much hope.

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Tiago Splitter
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Re: PANIC!! 1L Fall Grade Waiting Thread - 2012

Postby Tiago Splitter » Fri Jan 18, 2013 7:23 pm

hibiki wrote:
Bronck wrote:Still nothing from my Ks prof. I'm guessing movement over the weekend is extremely unlikely?


I'm not sure. There are still sections out there without grades. Grades went up a little later than this, but considering it is Friday, I don't have much hope.

My Civ Pro exam number popped up about an hour ago. Hoping someone is still working at the registar to post it.

Also got the email from my K's prof that grades won't be out until next Friday at the latest (which means next Friday).

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Bronck
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Re: PANIC!! 1L Fall Grade Waiting Thread - 2012

Postby Bronck » Fri Jan 18, 2013 7:25 pm

Tiago Splitter wrote:
hibiki wrote:
Bronck wrote:Still nothing from my Ks prof. I'm guessing movement over the weekend is extremely unlikely?


I'm not sure. There are still sections out there without grades. Grades went up a little later than this, but considering it is Friday, I don't have much hope.

My Civ Pro exam number popped up about an hour ago. Hoping someone is still working at the registar to post it.

Also got the email from my K's prof that grades won't be out until next Friday at the latest (which means next Friday).


Damn, haven't even had an exam number pop up. I guess next week it probably is.

ETA: Hoping to have them in before I make my bidlist for spring oci

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Tiago Splitter
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Re: PANIC!! 1L Fall Grade Waiting Thread - 2012

Postby Tiago Splitter » Fri Jan 18, 2013 7:51 pm

A in Civ Pro, A- in torts. Currently going nuts.

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smaug_
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Re: PANIC!! 1L Fall Grade Waiting Thread - 2012

Postby smaug_ » Fri Jan 18, 2013 7:54 pm

Tiago Splitter wrote:A in Civ Pro, A- in torts. Currently going nuts.


Congrats!!! :D

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Bronck
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Re: PANIC!! 1L Fall Grade Waiting Thread - 2012

Postby Bronck » Fri Jan 18, 2013 7:57 pm

Tiago Splitter wrote:A in Civ Pro, A- in torts. Currently going nuts.


Holy shit man, so happy for you!!! Grats on those great grades!

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Blumpbeef
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Re: PANIC!! 1L Fall Grade Waiting Thread - 2012

Postby Blumpbeef » Fri Jan 18, 2013 8:10 pm

Tiago Splitter wrote:A in Civ Pro, A- in torts. Currently going nuts.


Grats bro.

Represent.

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soj
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Re: PANIC!! 1L Fall Grade Waiting Thread - 2012

Postby soj » Fri Jan 18, 2013 8:15 pm

Tiago Splitter wrote:A in Civ Pro, A- in torts. Currently going nuts.

Congrats, dude!! Not surprised you're killing it. You'd better remember I've been nice to you when I ask you for a job in five years.

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franklyscarlet
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Re: PANIC!! 1L Fall Grade Waiting Thread - 2012

Postby franklyscarlet » Fri Jan 18, 2013 8:21 pm

Tiago Splitter wrote:A in Civ Pro, A- in torts. Currently going nuts.


Yay!! Congrats bro, you earned it!

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Bronck
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Re: PANIC!! 1L Fall Grade Waiting Thread - 2012

Postby Bronck » Fri Jan 18, 2013 8:26 pm

Tiago, you have rainbows and unicorns elective and the 3 core classes with me. I think that's an unfair advantage. Calling a penalty right there.

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20130312
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Re: PANIC!! 1L Fall Grade Waiting Thread - 2012

Postby 20130312 » Fri Jan 18, 2013 9:11 pm

Tiago and stillwater KILLING IT. Congrats dudes! Also, still, does your school give 4.33 for an A+? If so, and LRW is fewer credits than substantive courses, then you have over a 4.0!

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Tom Joad
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Re: PANIC!! 1L Fall Grade Waiting Thread - 2012

Postby Tom Joad » Fri Jan 18, 2013 10:07 pm

stillwater wrote:civ pro: A+
torts: A
contracts: A
Legal Writing: A-


fuck yes

Jesus stud what level of school? Congrats!

polkij333 wrote:
Bronck wrote:
UVAIce wrote:That's what happens when one law school drops a majority of its grades on a single day.

Wait till Monday evening, then UVA will blow this up.


Your registrar gonna work on MLJ jr day?


Yup

Total bullshit we have class on Robert E. Lee Day.

And Tiago, you like me, right? Might need favors in the future.

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dingbat
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Re: PANIC!! 1L Fall Grade Waiting Thread - 2012

Postby dingbat » Fri Jan 18, 2013 10:18 pm

Tiago Splitter wrote:A in Civ Pro, A- in torts. Currently going nuts.

stillwater wrote:civ pro: A+
torts: A
contracts: A
Legal Writing: A-


fuck yes
Congrats to both of you.

Please teach me everything you know about civ pro and torts (or, at least, how to get an A)

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shumpshump
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Re: PANIC!! 1L Fall Grade Waiting Thread - 2012

Postby shumpshump » Fri Jan 18, 2013 10:49 pm

Tiago Splitter wrote:A in Civ Pro, A- in torts. Currently going nuts.


congrats man! now i'm less happy we're in the same section next term

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Bronck
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Re: PANIC!! 1L Fall Grade Waiting Thread - 2012

Postby Bronck » Fri Jan 18, 2013 10:56 pm

2h4m until my prof is late.

law2015
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Re: PANIC!! 1L Fall Grade Waiting Thread - 2012

Postby law2015 » Fri Jan 18, 2013 11:03 pm

Bronck wrote:2h4m until my prof is late.


My prof is already 2 days late which sucks because I will probably start the spring semester without all of the grades.

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zworykin
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Re: PANIC!! 1L Fall Grade Waiting Thread - 2012

Postby zworykin » Fri Jan 18, 2013 11:08 pm

law2015 wrote:
Bronck wrote:2h4m until my prof is late.


My prof is already 2 days late which sucks because I will probably start the spring semester without all of the grades.


The offices are closed until Tuesday. :|
Last edited by zworykin on Sat Jan 19, 2013 12:00 am, edited 1 time in total.




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