Merger Market - No bueno

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RaceJudicata

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Merger Market - No bueno

Postby RaceJudicata » Fri Oct 07, 2016 2:09 pm

http://www.mergermarket.com/pdf/Mergerm ... Q32016.pdf

Are folks at these firms feeling the steep decline in terms of hours? What will impact be on bonuses? The numbers do not look good so far..

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Re: Merger Market - No bueno

Postby Anonymous User » Fri Oct 07, 2016 2:21 pm

RaceJudicata wrote:http://www.mergermarket.com/pdf/MergermarketLAReport.Q32016.pdf

Are folks at these firms feeling the steep decline in terms of hours? What will impact be on bonuses? The numbers do not look good so far..


Don't work at any of these but worked at a bulge-bracket ib firm before LS doing m&a. You'll realize the industry is cyclical. A downturn now isn't indicative of The industry overall. In fact when the economy turns south m&a will pick up due to cheaper cost of capital and cheaper acquisition prices. End of year is always stronger than 1st half too.

Depression in deal volume is likely largely driven by higher valuation multiples. Returns are just not going to be the same with the higher multiples. It'll come back up. Plus, a strong dollar makes us deals more expensive on top of this all.

thermidor9

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Re: Merger Market - No bueno

Postby thermidor9 » Fri Oct 07, 2016 5:08 pm

Also last year was batshit nuts.

v5junior

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Re: Merger Market - No bueno

Postby v5junior » Fri Oct 07, 2016 5:33 pm

thermidor9 wrote:Also last year was batshit nuts.


This. We're on pace to be well ahead of 2013, and not too far behind 2014 which is when bonuses went up.

IMO, the salary raise this last year was more a reflection of keeping up with PPP growth since '09 rather than expecting '15 to be the new normal (at least at the top firms). That, plus the embarrassment Cravath would face if they lowered bonuses after raising salaries = sufficient to keep bonuses where they are, I'd bet.



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