Law School Predictor: The Thread"

(Applications Advice, Letters of Recommendation . . . )
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Rotor
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Re: Admissions Index Score Prediction Spreadsheet - Version 1.5

Postby Rotor » Sun Apr 26, 2009 12:39 am

*Note: Non-trad w/20+ years military experience.

166/3.46

Admit: 1/1
Pos Consider: 2/2
Neg Consider: N/A
Deny: 2/3 :mrgreen: (1 WL; 1 Ding)

I also looked at the URM tab to see if it could be used as a rough approximation to my non-trad status. Interestingly enough, with my numbers at the schools I applied to, the only change the URM tab made was to change my Pos Considers to Admits. Don't know if I have a big enough sample size to be any help here, but it did better reflect the way I preceived my chances when the cycle started.

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Whatisthis
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Re: Admissions Index Score Prediction Spreadsheet - Version 1.5

Postby Whatisthis » Sun Apr 26, 2009 12:43 am

Well, it works fine now. I don't know what was going on the first time I tried to open it.

Anyhow, thanks again!

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Whatisthis
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Re: Admissions Index Score Prediction Spreadsheet - Version 1.5

Postby Whatisthis » Sun Apr 26, 2009 12:59 am

Very nice job ! Though, I do have one problem.

This spreadsheet has me as a likely reject for NYU. This makes me sad :( .

With a 174/3.4, all the other calculators give me more than a 50% likelihood of acceptance. This seems too good to be true, but I want to believe.

If you don’t mind me asking, what formula did you use for NYU?

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Helmholtz
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Re: Admissions Index Score Prediction Spreadsheet - Version 1.5

Postby Helmholtz » Sun Apr 26, 2009 1:09 am

Can you make one that says I'll be admitted to Harvard?

kthx

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YCrevolution
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Re: Admissions Index Score Prediction Spreadsheet - Version 1.5

Postby YCrevolution » Sun Apr 26, 2009 1:17 am

..

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YCrevolution
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Re: Admissions Index Score Prediction Spreadsheet - Version 1.5

Postby YCrevolution » Sun Apr 26, 2009 1:19 am

..

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OperaSoprano
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Re: Admissions Index Score Prediction Spreadsheet - Version 1.5

Postby OperaSoprano » Sun Apr 26, 2009 1:32 am

Thanks for this, sir!

Holy crap!

*Plugs in OS numbers and looks at schools in question*

I cannot believe all of this. No wonder my cycle has been full of fail. I am going to sue Hourmd for giving me false hope.
Last edited by OperaSoprano on Sun Apr 26, 2009 1:44 am, edited 2 times in total.

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OperaSoprano
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Re: Admissions Index Score Prediction Spreadsheet - Version 1.5

Postby OperaSoprano » Sun Apr 26, 2009 1:34 am

PM'ing you.

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YCrevolution
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Re: Admissions Index Score Prediction Spreadsheet - Version 1.5

Postby YCrevolution » Sun Apr 26, 2009 10:39 am

..

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Aeroplane
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Re: Admissions Index Score Prediction Spreadsheet - Version 1.5

Postby Aeroplane » Sun Apr 26, 2009 10:48 am

.
Last edited by Aeroplane on Sun Aug 08, 2010 9:14 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Helmholtz
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Re: Admissions Index Score Prediction Spreadsheet - Version 1.5

Postby Helmholtz » Sun Apr 26, 2009 10:59 am

After plugging in my numbers, it's about what I expected to see. Neg Consider at a quarter the T14, Reject at HYS, Pos Consider at a third of the T14, admit into Cornell, and admits the rest of the way down. We'll see how it plays out.

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limegreen
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Re: Admissions Index Score Prediction Spreadsheet - Version 1.5

Postby limegreen » Sun Apr 26, 2009 11:21 am

This is a really cool tool, but I don't think it's very good for splitters. I'm a 173 3.2 and it definitely makes my chances look significantly more bleak than almost every other calculator and LSN would suggest.

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YCrevolution
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Re: Admissions Index Score Prediction Spreadsheet - Version 1.5

Postby YCrevolution » Mon Apr 27, 2009 11:39 am

..
Last edited by YCrevolution on Fri May 22, 2009 11:56 am, edited 2 times in total.

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NayBoer
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Re: Admissions Index Score Prediction Spreadsheet - Version 1.5

Postby NayBoer » Mon Apr 27, 2009 1:52 pm

limegreen wrote:This is a really cool tool, but I don't think it's very good for splitters. I'm a 173 3.2 and it definitely makes my chances look significantly more bleak than almost every other calculator and LSN would suggest.
Agreed. Awesome tool, tons of fun, very valuable, but probably has trouble predicting splitters. I'm an embarrassingly-low-GPA splitter, and would probably have a rougher time at some of these schools than the indices predict and an easier time at others (e.g. 'the wall' at schools like WUSTL and GMU).

Still, this is an awesome instrument for playing with the index numbers.

perconte1
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Re: Admissions Index Score Prediction Spreadsheet - Version 1.5

Postby perconte1 » Wed Apr 29, 2009 1:58 am

Sorry guys, I'm really not feelin it. It told me that I would be denied at every school I was accepted to. You just enter your scores in the first sheet, and it automatically calculates your chances on the next sheet, right?? It seems like everyone's really impressed with this thing? Don't get me wrong, it's crazy that this guys actually invented this thing. I couldn't imagine how to do that, but it was 100% wrong on my schools. Has anyone else had this experience?

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YCrevolution
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Re: Admissions Index Score Prediction Spreadsheet - Version 1.5

Postby YCrevolution » Wed Apr 29, 2009 9:49 am

..

perconte1
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Re: Admissions Index Score Prediction Spreadsheet - Version 1.5

Postby perconte1 » Wed Apr 29, 2009 10:26 am

YCrevolution wrote:
perconte1 wrote:Sorry guys, I'm really not feelin it. It told me that I would be denied at every school I was accepted to. You just enter your scores in the first sheet, and it automatically calculates your chances on the next sheet, right?? It seems like everyone's really impressed with this thing? Don't get me wrong, it's crazy that this guys actually invented this thing. I couldn't imagine how to do that, but it was 100% wrong on my schools. Has anyone else had this experience?

If you don't mind my asking, what were your numbers, and were you URM/non-traditional/etc.?

Thanks!


Sure, 160/2.92

In at:
Temple
Villanova
Case Western
UNLV
WL:
Wake
Maryland
Richmond
Deny:
W&M
Ohio State
Catholic
American

Mr. Guppy
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Re: Admissions Index Score Prediction Spreadsheet - Version 1.5

Postby Mr. Guppy » Wed Apr 29, 2009 11:29 am

165/3.5

Admit - 2/2
Pos. Con. - 4/5 (one WL)

6/7

crash90
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Re: Admissions Index Score Prediction Spreadsheet - Version 1.5

Postby crash90 » Wed Apr 29, 2009 11:55 am

Not a good predictor of my cycle. I have plenty of softs but nothing outstanding (well on this board anyway.). Great PS?

Note: URM. Used URM tab. I considered a neg consider as a WL or being admitted very late in the school's cycle.


Deny: 1/5
Admit: 1/1
Neg Consider: 1/4
Pos - 0/0

Notes: Schools in Neg Consider that came to a decision quickly and/or gave me decent scholar money I removed from Neg Consider. Let me break it down:

Denied: William Mitchell
Admit (in quick succesion): WY ($$), ND, SD, University of St. Thomas MN, Gonzaga($$), Hamline ($$$)
Admit (Near deadline): Montana
Neg Consider: ID, UNLV

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YCrevolution
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Re: Admissions Index Score Prediction Spreadsheet - Version 1.5

Postby YCrevolution » Wed Apr 29, 2009 12:24 pm

..

crash90
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Re: Admissions Index Score Prediction Spreadsheet - Version 1.5

Postby crash90 » Wed Apr 29, 2009 12:55 pm

Just a note. I think your SUNY-Buffalo forumula is off.

My index number is BELOW the 25th and it shows me as an auto admit. It looks like you have things pretty jumbled. The 25/75 looked switched around but the median is still higher than the 75. Perhaps the median is supposed to be the 75 and your current 25 is the median and your current 75 is the 25?

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YCrevolution
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Re: Admissions Index Score Prediction Spreadsheet - Version 1.5

Postby YCrevolution » Wed Apr 29, 2009 1:15 pm

..

crash90
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Re: Admissions Index Score Prediction Spreadsheet - Version 1.5

Postby crash90 » Wed Apr 29, 2009 1:22 pm

YCrevolution wrote:
I'll look into it; it is definitely fixed in the v1.7 that I'm working on right now.


Using 1.5. Thanks for all the work.

Sesame_Jesus
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Re: Admissions Index Score Prediction Spreadsheet - Version 1.5

Postby Sesame_Jesus » Wed Apr 29, 2009 1:25 pm

You should add entries for Yale and Harvard that give random admit/deny responses.......

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ruraljuror
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Re: Admissions Index Score Prediction Spreadsheet - Version 1.5

Postby ruraljuror » Wed Apr 29, 2009 2:03 pm

I agree with everyone that said that this doesn't really predict splitters that well. . It may have helped me that I've been out of school for a couple years, it would be hard to make a spreadsheet that can take work experience into account, though. This is a fabulous tool, I just hope that people in future cycles will take it with a little grain of salt, and still apply even if their chances don't look that great!
Last edited by ruraljuror on Thu Feb 25, 2010 4:25 am, edited 1 time in total.




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