Law School Predictor: The Thread"

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Bilbort
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Re: Law School Predictor: Version 2.6 released Oct. 04, 2009

Postby Bilbort » Sat Oct 17, 2009 3:52 pm

I have to say, I just love the LSP. Aside from being a useful resource, it's an unlimited source of science fiction fun. I can't stop plugging in my actual numbers and then comparing them to dozens of alternate histories (What would it be like if I got these grades this term, or these grades, or if I dropped this term, or this course, or was a URM under any of these circumstances?) As a crazy splitter and transfer student, there are lots of opportunities for this kind of thing. It may be unhealthy.

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vanwinkle
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Re: Law School Predictor: Version 2.6 released Oct. 04, 2009

Postby vanwinkle » Sat Oct 17, 2009 4:16 pm

Bilbort wrote:I have to say, I just love the LSP. Aside from being a useful resource, it's an unlimited source of science fiction fun. I can't stop plugging in my actual numbers and then comparing them to dozens of alternate histories (What would it be like if I got these grades this term, or these grades, or if I dropped this term, or this course, or was a URM under any of these circumstances?) As a crazy splitter and transfer student, there are lots of opportunities for this kind of thing. It may be unhealthy.


YCR, you may want to consider putting a disclaimer on LSP stating that you're not responsible for the effects of overexposure (including obsession, anxiety, nausea, anger, hypertension, and intent to tort people).

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YCrevolution
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Re: Law School Predictor: Version 2.6 released Oct. 04, 2009

Postby YCrevolution » Sat Oct 17, 2009 6:56 pm

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Bilbort
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Re: Law School Predictor: Version 2.6 released Oct. 04, 2009

Postby Bilbort » Sat Oct 17, 2009 9:00 pm

YCrevolution wrote:
vanwinkle wrote:
Bilbort wrote:I have to say, I just love the LSP. Aside from being a useful resource, it's an unlimited source of science fiction fun. I can't stop plugging in my actual numbers and then comparing them to dozens of alternate histories (What would it be like if I got these grades this term, or these grades, or if I dropped this term, or this course, or was a URM under any of these circumstances?) As a crazy splitter and transfer student, there are lots of opportunities for this kind of thing. It may be unhealthy.


YCR, you may want to consider putting a disclaimer on LSP stating that you're not responsible for the effects of overexposure (including obsession, anxiety, nausea, anger, hypertension, and intent to tort people).

I think I'll add a forum selection clause, too, and a disclaimer disclaiming any type of warranty. :mrgreen:


Too late, I'm suing you. Just as soon as I finish calculating what my UGPA would have been if I had extrapolated it from my kindergarten grades.

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YCrevolution
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Re: Law School Predictor: Version 2.6 released Oct. 04, 2009

Postby YCrevolution » Sun Oct 18, 2009 12:56 pm

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Kant
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Re: Law School Predictor: Version 2.6 released Oct. 04, 2009

Postby Kant » Sun Oct 18, 2009 12:58 pm

Right now it says I am admitted everywhere regardless of lsat/gpa

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YCrevolution
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Re: Law School Predictor: Version 2.6 released Oct. 04, 2009

Postby YCrevolution » Sun Oct 18, 2009 12:58 pm

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lnz103
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Re: Law School Predictor: Version 2.6 released Oct. 04, 2009

Postby lnz103 » Sun Oct 18, 2009 10:52 pm

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Last edited by lnz103 on Sun Jan 08, 2012 1:55 am, edited 1 time in total.

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YCrevolution
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Re: Law School Predictor: Version 2.6 released Oct. 04, 2009

Postby YCrevolution » Mon Oct 19, 2009 5:20 pm

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YCrevolution
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Re: Law School Predictor: Version 2.6 released Oct. 04, 2009

Postby YCrevolution » Tue Oct 20, 2009 12:15 pm

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hypermeganet
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Re: Law School Predictor: Version 2.6 released Oct. 04, 2009

Postby hypermeganet » Tue Oct 20, 2009 12:19 pm

USC is another one-off type of school. My 164/3.85 has me at strongly consider but, in reality, I'm a reject or WL. They have a nearly impenetrable wall at 165.

Kant
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Re: Law School Predictor: Version 2.6 released Oct. 04, 2009

Postby Kant » Tue Oct 20, 2009 3:53 pm

You guys know that LSAC has a predictor based on last yrs cycle.

CyLaw
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Re: Law School Predictor: Version 2.6 released Oct. 04, 2009

Postby CyLaw » Tue Oct 20, 2009 4:00 pm

Kant wrote:You guys know that LSAC has a predictor based on last yrs cycle.


Except that the LSAC calculator does not include information for schools without published admission index formulas (Like a lot of the T14). Also YCrevolution took into account other factors for schools, such as unofficial cutoffs, in adjusting the stats models to fit closer to the actual results for schools.

Kant
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Re: Law School Predictor: Version 2.6 released Oct. 04, 2009

Postby Kant » Tue Oct 20, 2009 4:08 pm

ntzsch wrote:
Kant wrote:You guys know that LSAC has a predictor based on last yrs cycle.


i think it is based on 2 years ago, "Likelihood of admission in Fall 2008." i dont know it is unclear to my humble RC skills.



My advisor scoffed at the predictor. And that is one yr ago not two.

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Helmholtz
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Re: Law School Predictor: Version 2.6 released Oct. 04, 2009

Postby Helmholtz » Tue Oct 20, 2009 4:09 pm

Kant wrote:
ntzsch wrote:
Kant wrote:You guys know that LSAC has a predictor based on last yrs cycle.


i think it is based on 2 years ago, "Likelihood of admission in Fall 2008." i dont know it is unclear to my humble RC skills.



My advisor scoffed at the predictor. And that is one yr ago not two.


I'm pretty sure we'll applying for 2010 admission, right?

CyLaw
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Re: Law School Predictor: Version 2.6 released Oct. 04, 2009

Postby CyLaw » Tue Oct 20, 2009 4:11 pm

Helmholtz wrote:I'm pretty sure we'll applying for 2010 admission, right?


I'm actually applying for fall 2009 admission. Still hoping someone will drop out after midterms so I can get their seat off the waitlist.

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hypermeganet
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Re: Law School Predictor: Version 2.6 released Oct. 04, 2009

Postby hypermeganet » Tue Oct 20, 2009 4:13 pm

ntzsch wrote:is it possible that LSP is more predictive for certain # sets. my 164/3.88 is really optimistic. like "admit" at Emory and 5X% at Cornell. but i might just underestimate the power of GPA?

edit: or does my reverse splitter status hurt prediction accuracy a whole lot?


I think it overestimates. You and I have nearly identical numbers. I don't think I have a 41% chance at Georgetown. :-( Or a 64% shot at USC. And I think I have a much higher than 62% shot at BU.

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Helmholtz
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Re: Law School Predictor: Version 2.6 released Oct. 04, 2009

Postby Helmholtz » Tue Oct 20, 2009 4:15 pm

ntzsch wrote:yea, that is what i was thinking. but, the only thing is it should say "Likelihood of admission FOR Fall 2008"


The LSAC predictor is just......odd. I'm not sure why it gives me a ~25% at Penn, but a better than a 50% at NYU.

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YCrevolution
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Re: Law School Predictor: Version 2.6 released Oct. 04, 2009

Postby YCrevolution » Tue Oct 20, 2009 6:40 pm

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YCrevolution
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Re: Law School Predictor: Version 2.6 released Oct. 04, 2009

Postby YCrevolution » Fri Oct 23, 2009 3:45 pm

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LSATfromNC
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Re: Law School Predictor: Version 2.6 released Oct. 04, 2009

Postby LSATfromNC » Fri Oct 23, 2009 3:50 pm

YCrevolution wrote:Looks like the most LSP visitors in a single week record set last week is about to be broken sometime today.


Let me give it a quick visit then to help out.

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YCrevolution
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Re: Law School Predictor: Version 2.6 released Oct. 04, 2009

Postby YCrevolution » Fri Oct 23, 2009 3:53 pm

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YCrevolution
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Re: Law School Predictor: Version 2.6 released Oct. 04, 2009

Postby YCrevolution » Mon Oct 26, 2009 11:20 pm

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BaiAilian2013
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Re: Law School Predictor: Version 2.6 released Oct. 04, 2009

Postby BaiAilian2013 » Mon Oct 26, 2009 11:43 pm

Helmholtz wrote:
ntzsch wrote:yea, that is what i was thinking. but, the only thing is it should say "Likelihood of admission FOR Fall 2008"


The LSAC predictor is just......odd. I'm not sure why it gives me a ~25% at Penn, but a better than a 50% at NYU.


It says I have a better chance at Harvard than Penn.

nonprofit-prophet
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Re: Law School Predictor: Version 2.6 Official Thread

Postby nonprofit-prophet » Tue Oct 27, 2009 7:24 am

Yea i've always found that odd as well. It gives me the same odds at penn and nyu




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