jrsbaseball5 wrote: ScottRiqui wrote: jrsbaseball5 wrote:
MikeSpivey wrote:Here it is:
LSAC has released test taker data for the June LSAT. 23,997 individuals took the June test, down 1,226 - 4.9% - from June 2012. The number of first-time takers was down about 5% compared to June 2012.
Are the number of June test takers usually the highest? Meaning is it likely that if June test takers are down is it likely the whole cycle will be down?
October usually has the most takers. Percentage-wise, June 2012 had a drop of 5.9% over June 2011, and the October/December/February tests after June 2012 had drops of 16.4%, 15.6% and 12.9% respectively compared to the same administrations a year earlier.
June 2013 was "only" a 4.9% drop compared to June 2012, but the drop might have been lessened because of people taking the June LSAT to apply for school *this* fall, which hasn't always been an option in years past. I'd be surprised if the upcoming October/December/February test don't show at least double-digit drops compared to their previous administrations.
Oh ok I didn't know October was the highest. Makes sense though since lots of people want to study for the summer or retake.
Ya the drop of "only" 4.9% is because it is based off of the abysmal number from last year. The fact that it is still falling is the significant part. Will be great for many of us if those numbers continue to free this October and December.
Is anyone surprised at this drop ? I thought it might be higher. My hope is that as the true nature of legal employment with increased transparency and continued pressure on the schools lying liars who lie employment figures, the drop is going to continue. We all think this is old news but to many people law school seems like a sure road to at least middle class success and security . The more the word spread, the fewer people are going to attend. I can see declines continuing for the next few years.
Just look at all the threads here by people still willing to borrow sticker to go to schools with hideous employment prospects. It is going to take a few years for people to get it.
And if the predicted biglaw cutbacks happen or continue to happen, even more people will drop law as a career choice. But that is just predictions, have to see what really happens. As biglaw changes slowly it might just be a continued drumbeat of stealth layoffs and staff associates. Or maybe M&A will explode if the economy hits an upturn.
My prediction remains that as long as accurate info continues to spread, applicants will continue to drop.