## Law School Predictors and URMs

(Applications Advice, Letters of Recommendation . . . )
Lost09

Posts: 9
Joined: Mon Nov 01, 2010 5:51 pm

### Law School Predictors and URMs

Does anybody know what kind of reliability admissions predictors (hourmd, LSP) have when predicting URM admissions? Seems like there's so little data out there on URM admissions, I'm wondering if it's a reliable reference as to where I should apply as a URM.

2011Cycle

Posts: 406
Joined: Sun Aug 15, 2010 8:08 am

### Re: Law School Predictors and URMs

Poor predictor
LSP calculates answers based in the indices(found on the LSAC.org site). However, over half of the t-25 do not submit index coefficients-- hence, LSP 'gestimates'.

Lost09

Posts: 9
Joined: Mon Nov 01, 2010 5:51 pm

### Re: Law School Predictors and URMs

hmm, yeah that's kind of what I suspected...any idea of whether it tends to overestimate or underestimate chances for URMs? Or is it just off, period and no one really knows how much?

2011Cycle

Posts: 406
Joined: Sun Aug 15, 2010 8:08 am

### Re: Law School Predictors and URMs

Lost09 wrote:hmm, yeah that's kind of what I suspected...any idea of whether it tends to overestimate or underestimate chances for URMs? Or is it just off, period and no one really knows how much?

I do not have emperical evidence of the degree of underestimation. That being said, softs are significant for URM's and since there is no way to rank softs, getting one's numbers in the percentiles(top 2%) of the URM group one represents is a good start.

Rand M.

Posts: 757
Joined: Fri Aug 07, 2009 8:24 am

### Re: Law School Predictors and URMs

It definitely tends to underestimate the range of school a URM will get into; especially for certain types of URM. It's probably more accurate for the groups that don't tend to get as big of a boost.