Law School Predictors and URMs

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Lost09
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Joined: Mon Nov 01, 2010 5:51 pm

Law School Predictors and URMs

Postby Lost09 » Mon Nov 01, 2010 9:28 pm

Does anybody know what kind of reliability admissions predictors (hourmd, LSP) have when predicting URM admissions? Seems like there's so little data out there on URM admissions, I'm wondering if it's a reliable reference as to where I should apply as a URM.

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2011Cycle
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Re: Law School Predictors and URMs

Postby 2011Cycle » Mon Nov 01, 2010 9:35 pm

Poor predictor
LSP calculates answers based in the indices(found on the LSAC.org site). However, over half of the t-25 do not submit index coefficients-- hence, LSP 'gestimates'.

Lost09
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Joined: Mon Nov 01, 2010 5:51 pm

Re: Law School Predictors and URMs

Postby Lost09 » Mon Nov 01, 2010 9:38 pm

hmm, yeah that's kind of what I suspected...any idea of whether it tends to overestimate or underestimate chances for URMs? Or is it just off, period and no one really knows how much?

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2011Cycle
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Re: Law School Predictors and URMs

Postby 2011Cycle » Mon Nov 01, 2010 9:41 pm

Lost09 wrote:hmm, yeah that's kind of what I suspected...any idea of whether it tends to overestimate or underestimate chances for URMs? Or is it just off, period and no one really knows how much?


I do not have emperical evidence of the degree of underestimation. That being said, softs are significant for URM's and since there is no way to rank softs, getting one's numbers in the percentiles(top 2%) of the URM group one represents is a good start.

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Rand M.
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Re: Law School Predictors and URMs

Postby Rand M. » Mon Nov 01, 2010 10:10 pm

It definitely tends to underestimate the range of school a URM will get into; especially for certain types of URM. It's probably more accurate for the groups that don't tend to get as big of a boost.




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