Top Law Schools

10 apps, withdrew from 4 before decisions were made after I made it into my first choice but my results were

Admit - 93% - accepted
Admit - >95% - accepted
Admit - >95% - accepted w/ $
Strong Consider - 63% - accepted w/ $$
Strong Consider - 63% - accepted w/ $$
Consider - 58% - accepted w/ $$

danidancer what are your stats please?

It's been pretty good for me...I believe it over-estimates my chances at Harvard, but we'll see. Also, it obviously doesn't account for the rampant YPing practiced by MVP.

Harvard -- Weak Consider (41 percent)...Pending
Columbia -- Consider (55 percent)...Held
NYU -- Strong Consider (65 percent)....IN
Chicago -- Strong Consider (69 percent)...Pending
Michigan -- Admit (90 percent)...WL
Virginia -- Strong Consider (75 percent)...WL
Northwestern -- Strong Consider (74 percent)...IN
Georgetown -- Admit (90 percent)...IN

It's been more or less accurate for me. Nothing I would recommend to decide a cycle though.

Applied to 4 Denys: 3 outs, 1 WL
Weak Consider: 1 out, 1 pending
Considers: 3 out, 2 WL, 3 pending
Strong consider: 2 in, 1 WL (withdrew)
Admit: 2 In, 1 WL

Out of seven "admits": 5 acceptances, 1 WL, 1 denial.

.

Based on everyone's responses in this thread, it seems as though either LSP overestimates probabilities or this cycle is just ultra competitive.

A tad misleading for my app: a HYS splitter, applied November.

Yale: rejected ("Consider")
Stanford: rejected ("Admit"... grr... but expected if you look at LSN)
Harvard: Held ("Consider")

"Admit" at CCN, got accepted to all three, so besides the Stanford data (and they're an oddity in admissions anyways) I'd say it's pretty reliable. I actually used it to motivate me to study for the LSAT. If I got a certain score on a diagnostic, I'd see where that score would place me, and since I wasn't satisfied until the end of my studying it was enough of a chip on my shoulder to keep me studying hard.

deny <5%................rejected
deny 12%................decision pending
deny 24%................rejected
weak consider 28%....rejected
consider 41%............DP
consider 54%............WL
consider 65%............WL
consider 50%............Accepted
consider 52%............Accepted
Admit 81%................Accepted $

Law Schooler wrote:danidancer what are your stats please?

http://lawschoolnumbers.com/iwant2go2there - 3.45/168.

1 Consider - Held
1 Strong Consider - Admitted
5 Admit - 3 Admitted, 2 Waitlisted (YP)

pikalove wrote:It told me I would be a DENY at NYU ED, but I got Accepted right away!

I do have above average softs though.

I would say that for early applicants it is a fairly reliable (and perhaps slightly pessimistic) tool.

not the "above average softs" rationale again...

existenz wrote:

Law Schooler wrote:Comment on this.

Unless you somehow get into one of your top choices, waiting a year and retaking the LSAT could net you hundreds of thousands of dollars over the course of your career, not to mention lots of scholly money.

I did not know the unemployment office paid more to people who graduated from schools ranked higher by US News? If this is really the case, we need to investigate USNWR and their shady impact on the govt.

Mine has been remarkably accurate, if a bit pessimistic. Applied early, not a splitter, decent softs but not extraordinary, some w/e.

Deny - Denied
Deny - Denied
Weak Consider (ED)- WL
Consider - Accepted
Consider - Accepted $$
Consider - Accepted
Strong Consider - Accepted $$$
Strong Consider - Accepted $$$
Admit > 90% - WL (YP, i guess, I withdrew)
Admit - Accepted

Curious to see how I've measured up with LSP so far:

Going from #1 down...
Deny: Pending
Weak consider: Pending
Weak consider: Pending
Consider at 57%: In
Consider at 43%: WL
Consider at 43%: WL
Consider at 54%: In
Strong Consider: Pending (Thanks, UT)
Strong Consider: In
Strong Consider: In
Strong Consider: In
All admits= admitted

It's interesting that with the exception of UT (from whom I have heard nothing)... if I'm over 50%, I'm in. Also, I'm pretty sure the deny and the two weak considers will yield WL or dings.

I consider myself a fairly "average" applicant (average softs, non-splitter):

Deny - 1 hold (24%)
Weak Consider - 1 acceptance (36%), 1 pending (37%)
Consider - 1 acceptance (48%), 1 hold (62%), 2 WLs (58%, 61%), 1 rejection (57%), 1 pending (45%)
Strong Consider - 4 acceptances (66%, 66%, 69%, 71%), 1 pending (71%)
Admit - 1 acceptance (>95%)

(The pendings are likely rejections, since I submitted in October. Actually, the holds probably are too...)

So... I dunno. That seems to be all over the place, or at least, a little less than everything in place?

* EDITED to add percentages (% at/below)

You can't glean anything from the responses that don't have percentages. For example, I think a "consider" goes from 35% to around 60%. That's a big difference, because the former will likely result in a rejection, while the latter will likely result in an acceptance.