LawSchoolPredictor Accuracy?

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lawduder
Posts: 483
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Re: LawSchoolPredictor Accuracy?

Postby lawduder » Sun Mar 14, 2010 5:05 pm

10 apps, withdrew from 4 before decisions were made after I made it into my first choice but my results were

Admit - 93% - accepted
Admit - >95% - accepted
Admit - >95% - accepted w/ $
Strong Consider - 63% - accepted w/ $$
Strong Consider - 63% - accepted w/ $$
Consider - 58% - accepted w/ $$

Law Schooler
Posts: 23
Joined: Mon Dec 28, 2009 1:34 pm

Re: LawSchoolPredictor Accuracy?

Postby Law Schooler » Mon Mar 15, 2010 5:16 pm

danidancer what are your stats please?

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scribelaw
Posts: 771
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Re: LawSchoolPredictor Accuracy?

Postby scribelaw » Mon Mar 15, 2010 5:31 pm

It's been pretty good for me...I believe it over-estimates my chances at Harvard, but we'll see. Also, it obviously doesn't account for the rampant YPing practiced by MVP.

Harvard -- Weak Consider (41 percent)...Pending
Columbia -- Consider (55 percent)...Held
NYU -- Strong Consider (65 percent)....IN
Chicago -- Strong Consider (69 percent)...Pending
Michigan -- Admit (90 percent)...WL
Virginia -- Strong Consider (75 percent)...WL
Northwestern -- Strong Consider (74 percent)...IN
Georgetown -- Admit (90 percent)...IN

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jks289
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Re: LawSchoolPredictor Accuracy?

Postby jks289 » Mon Mar 15, 2010 5:36 pm

It's been more or less accurate for me. Nothing I would recommend to decide a cycle though.

Applied to 4 Denys: 3 outs, 1 WL
Weak Consider: 1 out, 1 pending
Considers: 3 out, 2 WL, 3 pending
Strong consider: 2 in, 1 WL (withdrew)
Admit: 2 In, 1 WL

knola002
Posts: 176
Joined: Sat Jul 11, 2009 1:36 am

Re: LawSchoolPredictor Accuracy?

Postby knola002 » Mon Mar 15, 2010 5:41 pm

Out of seven "admits": 5 acceptances, 1 WL, 1 denial.

jonnodotsg
Posts: 88
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Re: LawSchoolPredictor Accuracy?

Postby jonnodotsg » Mon Mar 15, 2010 5:44 pm

.
Last edited by jonnodotsg on Sat Sep 25, 2010 9:56 am, edited 1 time in total.

honestabe84
Posts: 491
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Re: LawSchoolPredictor Accuracy?

Postby honestabe84 » Mon Mar 15, 2010 5:49 pm

Based on everyone's responses in this thread, it seems as though either LSP overestimates probabilities or this cycle is just ultra competitive.

muahawhawhaw
Posts: 63
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Re: LawSchoolPredictor Accuracy?

Postby muahawhawhaw » Mon Mar 15, 2010 6:00 pm

A tad misleading for my app: a HYS splitter, applied November.

Yale: rejected ("Consider")
Stanford: rejected ("Admit"... grr... but expected if you look at LSN)
Harvard: Held ("Consider")

"Admit" at CCN, got accepted to all three, so besides the Stanford data (and they're an oddity in admissions anyways) I'd say it's pretty reliable. I actually used it to motivate me to study for the LSAT. If I got a certain score on a diagnostic, I'd see where that score would place me, and since I wasn't satisfied until the end of my studying it was enough of a chip on my shoulder to keep me studying hard.

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Borhas
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Re: LawSchoolPredictor Accuracy?

Postby Borhas » Mon Mar 15, 2010 6:05 pm

deny <5%................rejected
deny 12%................decision pending
deny 24%................rejected
weak consider 28%....rejected
consider 41%............DP
consider 54%............WL
consider 65%............WL
consider 50%............Accepted
consider 52%............Accepted
Admit 81%................Accepted $

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danidancer
Posts: 841
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Re: LawSchoolPredictor Accuracy?

Postby danidancer » Mon Mar 15, 2010 6:58 pm

Law Schooler wrote:danidancer what are your stats please?


http://lawschoolnumbers.com/iwant2go2there - 3.45/168.

MTC87
Posts: 98
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Re: LawSchoolPredictor Accuracy?

Postby MTC87 » Tue Mar 16, 2010 10:00 am

1 Consider - Held
1 Strong Consider - Admitted
5 Admit - 3 Admitted, 2 Waitlisted (YP)

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Rocketman11
Posts: 612
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Re: LawSchoolPredictor Accuracy?

Postby Rocketman11 » Tue Mar 16, 2010 10:27 am

pikalove wrote:It told me I would be a DENY at NYU ED, but I got Accepted right away!

I do have above average softs though.

I would say that for early applicants it is a fairly reliable (and perhaps slightly pessimistic) tool.


not the "above average softs" rationale again...

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Rocketman11
Posts: 612
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Re: LawSchoolPredictor Accuracy?

Postby Rocketman11 » Tue Mar 16, 2010 10:28 am

existenz wrote:
Law Schooler wrote:Comment on this.

Unless you somehow get into one of your top choices, waiting a year and retaking the LSAT could net you hundreds of thousands of dollars over the course of your career, not to mention lots of scholly money.


I did not know the unemployment office paid more to people who graduated from schools ranked higher by US News? If this is really the case, we need to investigate USNWR and their shady impact on the govt.

umichgrad
Posts: 381
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Re: LawSchoolPredictor Accuracy?

Postby umichgrad » Tue Mar 16, 2010 10:29 am

Mine has been remarkably accurate, if a bit pessimistic. Applied early, not a splitter, decent softs but not extraordinary, some w/e.

Deny - Denied
Deny - Denied
Weak Consider (ED)- WL
Consider - Accepted
Consider - Accepted $$
Consider - Accepted
Strong Consider - Accepted $$$
Strong Consider - Accepted $$$
Admit > 90% - WL (YP, i guess, I withdrew)
Admit - Accepted

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sandiecohen47
Posts: 178
Joined: Tue Nov 24, 2009 9:37 pm

Re: LawSchoolPredictor Accuracy?

Postby sandiecohen47 » Tue Mar 16, 2010 10:38 am

Curious to see how I've measured up with LSP so far:

Going from #1 down...
Deny: Pending
Weak consider: Pending
Weak consider: Pending
Consider at 57%: In
Consider at 43%: WL
Consider at 43%: WL
Consider at 54%: In
Strong Consider: Pending (Thanks, UT)
Strong Consider: In
Strong Consider: In
Strong Consider: In
All admits= admitted

It's interesting that with the exception of UT (from whom I have heard nothing)... if I'm over 50%, I'm in. Also, I'm pretty sure the deny and the two weak considers will yield WL or dings.

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parker09
Posts: 430
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Re: LawSchoolPredictor Accuracy?

Postby parker09 » Tue Mar 16, 2010 10:56 am

I consider myself a fairly "average" applicant (average softs, non-splitter):

Deny - 1 hold (24%)
Weak Consider - 1 acceptance (36%), 1 pending (37%)
Consider - 1 acceptance (48%), 1 hold (62%), 2 WLs (58%, 61%), 1 rejection (57%), 1 pending (45%)
Strong Consider - 4 acceptances (66%, 66%, 69%, 71%), 1 pending (71%)
Admit - 1 acceptance (>95%)

(The pendings are likely rejections, since I submitted in October. Actually, the holds probably are too...)

So... I dunno. That seems to be all over the place, or at least, a little less than everything in place?

* EDITED to add percentages (% at/below)
Last edited by parker09 on Tue Mar 16, 2010 4:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.

honestabe84
Posts: 491
Joined: Sat Mar 06, 2010 1:47 pm

Re: LawSchoolPredictor Accuracy?

Postby honestabe84 » Tue Mar 16, 2010 3:48 pm

You can't glean anything from the responses that don't have percentages. For example, I think a "consider" goes from 35% to around 60%. That's a big difference, because the former will likely result in a rejection, while the latter will likely result in an acceptance.




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