ValiantVic wrote:From what I heard from the Dean at NU the LSAT has a good correlation with one's success in the first semester of law school, that's it. It can't even be projected to one's law school career and of course obviously wouldn't have any bearing on one's career as an attorney.
TITCR. And let me add this: GPA alone is not a very reliable predictor. LSAT alone is a better predictor (not by much), but a combination of the two is the BEST predictor. That doesn't mean that GPA/LSAT is a very reliable predictor as much as it is a good "correlator". I don't like the word "predictor"; there's a difference.
When one thing "predicts" another, you have to control for outside influences. The obvious elephants in the room with URM's is that 1) they are constantly being fed information about their supposed intellectual inferiority, 2) standardized exams are not socioeconomically neutral, meaning those individuals whose SES is higher tend to do better, regardless of ethnicity/race, and 3) there are still environmental factors that come into play throught the lives of URM's. For example, what effect, regardless of how subtle, does being URM and studying in majority white institutions have on URM's? That's a complex question that is still being studied today.
There is one disturbing trend, however. Even when you hold SES constant for two people, one URM and the other Non-URM, there will still be a disparity, the results show. I am not a fan of the studies because the data is never shown with them. I watched a professor at UVA give a lecture on this topic, but he had no hard data to back up his statements. Credibility?...Gone! Even if we accept the common wisdom that says LSAT can predict first semester or first year performance, that does not make an entire law school education, and it certainly doesn't make a career.