URM School Statistics Forum
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Anonymous posting is only appropriate when you are sharing sensitive information about bar exam prep. You may anonymously respond on topic to these threads. Unacceptable uses include: harassing another user, joking around, testing the feature, or other things that are more appropriate in the lounge.
Failure to follow these rules will get you outed, warned, or banned."
- spacepenguin
- Posts: 535
- Joined: Thu Dec 16, 2010 1:17 am
Re: URM School Statistics
Stanford
stuff = -50.73389 + 0.20814*LSAT + 4.16691*GPA
probability = exp(stuff)/(1+exp(stuff))
LSAT percentiles = 166, 168, 171
GPA percentiles = 3.68, 3.8, 3.9
LSAT min = 164
GPA min = 3.1
*very little data available, I had to break my own little rule and go back 3 years to make this a viable model
** High GPAs are more valuable than high LSAT when it comes to splitters
*** More people need to apply to Stanford
stuff = -50.73389 + 0.20814*LSAT + 4.16691*GPA
probability = exp(stuff)/(1+exp(stuff))
LSAT percentiles = 166, 168, 171
GPA percentiles = 3.68, 3.8, 3.9
LSAT min = 164
GPA min = 3.1
*very little data available, I had to break my own little rule and go back 3 years to make this a viable model
** High GPAs are more valuable than high LSAT when it comes to splitters
*** More people need to apply to Stanford
- EbonyEsq
- Posts: 264
- Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2010 10:06 am
Re: URM School Statistics
This gives me HOPE, alot of it. I'm a 3.4'er and thought Yale won't even consider me unless I pull a 180 LSAT and even then, I figured I would still get a rejection given the low GPA.spacepenguin wrote:I did my best to eliminate really suspicious data. I either missed this particular entry, or I actually checked the profile and felt that it was genuinely sincere. I do know that the lowest Yale went (based on their own released numbers) was a 152 LSAT and a 3.35 GPA. So, who knows?
Any hints on where you got the 152/3.35 data? Now I'm considering throwing an app their way so long as I score well on the LSAT.
- timmna
- Posts: 524
- Joined: Sat Jun 19, 2010 11:15 am
Re: URM School Statistics
I'm very surprised I have a (marginally) better shot at H than S, but then I do have a low GPA.
Thanks for doing these!
Thanks for doing these!
- spacepenguin
- Posts: 535
- Joined: Thu Dec 16, 2010 1:17 am
Re: URM School Statistics
They sent me an 'invitation' to apply a few months ago along with their viewing packet. I say 'invite' because they didn't waive my application fee; however, the numbers I quoted were inside for the class of 2012.EbonyEsq wrote:
This gives me HOPE, alot of it. I'm a 3.4'er and thought Yale won't even consider me unless I pull a 180 LSAT and even then, I figured I would still get a rejection given the low GPA.
Any hints on where you got the 152/3.35 data? Now I'm considering throwing an app their way so long as I score well on the LSAT.
- EbonyEsq
- Posts: 264
- Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2010 10:06 am
Re: URM School Statistics
We also have to take into consideration how legacy, old money and just plain privilege can get some applicants in who do not have the numbers. And trust me, I don't have any of those connections.spacepenguin wrote:They sent me an 'invitation' to apply a few months ago along with their viewing packet. I say 'invite' because they didn't waive my application fee; however, the numbers I quoted were inside for the class of 2012.EbonyEsq wrote:
This gives me HOPE, alot of it. I'm a 3.4'er and thought Yale won't even consider me unless I pull a 180 LSAT and even then, I figured I would still get a rejection given the low GPA.
Any hints on where you got the 152/3.35 data? Now I'm considering throwing an app their way so long as I score well on the LSAT.
- EbonyEsq
- Posts: 264
- Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2010 10:06 am
Re: URM School Statistics
Okay so just to piggyback on this, I was checking this out:spacepenguin wrote:They sent me an 'invitation' to apply a few months ago along with their viewing packet. I say 'invite' because they didn't waive my application fee; however, the numbers I quoted were inside for the class of 2012.EbonyEsq wrote:
This gives me HOPE, alot of it. I'm a 3.4'er and thought Yale won't even consider me unless I pull a 180 LSAT and even then, I figured I would still get a rejection given the low GPA.
Any hints on where you got the 152/3.35 data? Now I'm considering throwing an app their way so long as I score well on the LSAT.
http://officialguide.lsac.org/Release/S ... AC3987.pdf
Page 2. So out of those students with GPAs in the 3.2-3.4 range, Yale only accepted 3 out of 402 applicants. Two admittances in the 165-169 range and one in the 170-174 range.
Don't know how old the data but yikes!
- Alltheirsplendor
- Posts: 117
- Joined: Mon Nov 29, 2010 11:06 pm
Re: URM School Statistics
!!!!!EbonyEsq wrote:Okay so just to piggyback on this, I was checking this out:spacepenguin wrote:They sent me an 'invitation' to apply a few months ago along with their viewing packet. I say 'invite' because they didn't waive my application fee; however, the numbers I quoted were inside for the class of 2012.EbonyEsq wrote:
This gives me HOPE, alot of it. I'm a 3.4'er and thought Yale won't even consider me unless I pull a 180 LSAT and even then, I figured I would still get a rejection given the low GPA.
Any hints on where you got the 152/3.35 data? Now I'm considering throwing an app their way so long as I score well on the LSAT.
http://officialguide.lsac.org/Release/S ... AC3987.pdf
Page 2. So out of those students with GPAs in the 3.2-3.4 range, Yale only accepted 3 out of 402 applicants. Two admittances in the 165-169 range and one in the 170-174 range.
Don't know how old the data but yikes!
Oh me oh my!
- Alltheirsplendor
- Posts: 117
- Joined: Mon Nov 29, 2010 11:06 pm
Re: URM School Statistics
Did you notice the jump between the 3.5-3.74 to the 3.75 brackets when it came to LSAT scores? 10% of peeps accepted in the former range scoring a 175+ then whoosh, 47% of peeps accepted in the latter.EbonyEsq wrote:Okay so just to piggyback on this, I was checking this out:spacepenguin wrote:They sent me an 'invitation' to apply a few months ago along with their viewing packet. I say 'invite' because they didn't waive my application fee; however, the numbers I quoted were inside for the class of 2012.EbonyEsq wrote:
This gives me HOPE, alot of it. I'm a 3.4'er and thought Yale won't even consider me unless I pull a 180 LSAT and even then, I figured I would still get a rejection given the low GPA.
Any hints on where you got the 152/3.35 data? Now I'm considering throwing an app their way so long as I score well on the LSAT.
http://officialguide.lsac.org/Release/S ... AC3987.pdf
Page 2. So out of those students with GPAs in the 3.2-3.4 range, Yale only accepted 3 out of 402 applicants. Two admittances in the 165-169 range and one in the 170-174 range.
Don't know how old the data but yikes!
Craaaazy.
- spacepenguin
- Posts: 535
- Joined: Thu Dec 16, 2010 1:17 am
Re: URM School Statistics
Everything really suggests that URMs get an LSAT boost but not a GPA boost. I think you'll find similar data for all T14 schools.
- EbonyEsq
- Posts: 264
- Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2010 10:06 am
Re: URM School Statistics
Yeah. Yale doesn't make much exceptions when it comes to GPAs.Alltheirsplendor wrote:Did you notice the jump between the 3.5-3.74 to the 3.75 brackets when it came to LSAT scores? 10% of peeps accepted in the former range scoring a 175+ then whoosh, 47% of peeps accepted in the latter.EbonyEsq wrote:Okay so just to piggyback on this, I was checking this out:spacepenguin wrote:They sent me an 'invitation' to apply a few months ago along with their viewing packet. I say 'invite' because they didn't waive my application fee; however, the numbers I quoted were inside for the class of 2012.EbonyEsq wrote:
This gives me HOPE, alot of it. I'm a 3.4'er and thought Yale won't even consider me unless I pull a 180 LSAT and even then, I figured I would still get a rejection given the low GPA.
Any hints on where you got the 152/3.35 data? Now I'm considering throwing an app their way so long as I score well on the LSAT.
http://officialguide.lsac.org/Release/S ... AC3987.pdf
Page 2. So out of those students with GPAs in the 3.2-3.4 range, Yale only accepted 3 out of 402 applicants. Two admittances in the 165-169 range and one in the 170-174 range.
Don't know how old the data but yikes!
Craaaazy.
LSATs is tied to everything, including scholarship $$$. I still believe many URMs do not understand its importance .spacepenguin wrote:Everything really suggests that URMs get an LSAT boost but not a GPA boost. I think you'll find similar data for all T14 schools.
- blacklawboss
- Posts: 522
- Joined: Tue Jan 11, 2011 6:22 pm
Re: URM School Statistics
156 lsat 3.3 gpaspacepenguin wrote:Everything really suggests that URMs get an LSAT boost but not a GPA boost. I think you'll find similar data for all T14 schools.
I have over 10 years of high level executive experience. out of undergrad for over 10 years wont be too specific. Huge community involvement. 1st college grad in my family
Fordham PT
NYU (fantasy reach)
Cardozo
St. John's pt
Seton Hall pt
Rutgers pt
Northwestern
What do you think?
- s0ph1e2007
- Posts: 1043
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2009 10:37 pm
Re: URM School Statistics
what URM are youblacklawboss wrote:156 lsat 3.3 gpaspacepenguin wrote:Everything really suggests that URMs get an LSAT boost but not a GPA boost. I think you'll find similar data for all T14 schools.
I have over 10 years of high level executive experience. out of undergrad for over 10 years wont be too specific. Huge community involvement. 1st college grad in my family
Fordham PT
NYU (fantasy reach)
Cardozo
St. John's pt
Seton Hall pt
Rutgers pt
Northwestern
What do you think?
- blacklawboss
- Posts: 522
- Joined: Tue Jan 11, 2011 6:22 pm
Re: URM School Statistics
AA males0ph1e2007 wrote:what URM are youblacklawboss wrote:156 lsat 3.3 gpaspacepenguin wrote:Everything really suggests that URMs get an LSAT boost but not a GPA boost. I think you'll find similar data for all T14 schools.
I have over 10 years of high level executive experience. out of undergrad for over 10 years wont be too specific. Huge community involvement. 1st college grad in my family
Fordham PT
NYU (fantasy reach)
Cardozo
St. John's pt
Seton Hall pt
Rutgers pt
Northwestern
What do you think?
- s0ph1e2007
- Posts: 1043
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2009 10:37 pm
Re: URM School Statistics
I would go to lawschoolpredictor.com and lawschoolnumbers.comblacklawboss wrote:AA males0ph1e2007 wrote:what URM are youblacklawboss wrote:156 lsat 3.3 gpaspacepenguin wrote:Everything really suggests that URMs get an LSAT boost but not a GPA boost. I think you'll find similar data for all T14 schools.
I have over 10 years of high level executive experience. out of undergrad for over 10 years wont be too specific. Huge community involvement. 1st college grad in my family
Fordham PT
NYU (fantasy reach)
Cardozo
St. John's pt
Seton Hall pt
Rutgers pt
Northwestern
What do you think?
That's all the rest of us have to give you any idea of your chances
without sig. work experience you won't get into Northwestern. You should probably consider adding a few more schools in the T20-T14 range
- blacklawboss
- Posts: 522
- Joined: Tue Jan 11, 2011 6:22 pm
-
- Posts: 512
- Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2011 5:42 pm
Re: URM School Statistics
Can you please check U of Miami amd U of Florida LSAT 156 GPA 3.8
- Alltheirsplendor
- Posts: 117
- Joined: Mon Nov 29, 2010 11:06 pm
Re: URM School Statistics
@Space
With all these statistics why haven't you applied to more schools Space? You're a URM with an excellent/unique undergraduate program and you have pretty high stats.
Apologies in advance if I'm asking a rude question.
With all these statistics why haven't you applied to more schools Space? You're a URM with an excellent/unique undergraduate program and you have pretty high stats.
Apologies in advance if I'm asking a rude question.
- spacepenguin
- Posts: 535
- Joined: Thu Dec 16, 2010 1:17 am
Re: URM School Statistics
Honestly, I was pretty naive about the whole application process coming in. I didn't know about TLS until relatively recently and while I knew URMs got a boost, I didn't imagine how huge the boost really was. My one regret is not studying harder for the LSAT and working under the impression that the differences between top 20 and top 10 were marginal at best.Alltheirsplendor wrote:@Space
With all these statistics why haven't you applied to more schools Space? You're a URM with an excellent/unique undergraduate program and you have pretty high stats.
Apologies in advance if I'm asking a rude question.
With that said, I recently applied to Duke and I might throw an app at Yale (considering they don't seem to punish late applications); but ultimately I'll have to make a decision between prestige vs scholarships.
On that note, I enjoy doing this and I just realized that I haven't even finished the top 14 like I promised...my bad.
-
- Posts: 33
- Joined: Mon Jan 03, 2011 1:46 am
Re: URM School Statistics
Could you do Texas and SMU?
- spacepenguin
- Posts: 535
- Joined: Thu Dec 16, 2010 1:17 am
Re: URM School Statistics
Berkeley
stuff = -37.00977 + 0.10622*LSAT + 5.21629*GPA
probability = exp(stuff)/(1+exp(stuff))
LSAT percentiles (25,50,75) = 162, 166, 169
GPA percentiles (25, 50, 75) = 3.62, 3.81, 3.9
LSAT min = 149
GPA min = 3.090
Berkeley has a ton of data, so that was nice and I took the liberty of testing how splitters would do. Anecdotally, Berkeley tends to favor high GPAs (regardless of URM status), so with that in mind:
An LSAT of 175 and a GPA of 3.0 (arbitrary extremes) yielded a 0.0588 probability, or rather 6% chance.
An LSAT of 152 and a GPA of 4.0 (again, arbitrary) yielded a 50% chance of being admitted.
So in essence it fits the anecdotal assumption that Berkeley prefers higher GPAs, but don't be mislead by the actual numbers associated with the probabilities--statistically speaking, this model isn't catered for splitters. However, in Berkeley's case, the model seems to be much more robust than others and I would safely use it as starting point for predicting your chances.
Anyways, I think I only need Duke and Georgetown to round off the top14 and then I'll get to UT, BU, SMU, etc (you all have not been forgotten and thanks for your patience)
stuff = -37.00977 + 0.10622*LSAT + 5.21629*GPA
probability = exp(stuff)/(1+exp(stuff))
LSAT percentiles (25,50,75) = 162, 166, 169
GPA percentiles (25, 50, 75) = 3.62, 3.81, 3.9
LSAT min = 149
GPA min = 3.090
Berkeley has a ton of data, so that was nice and I took the liberty of testing how splitters would do. Anecdotally, Berkeley tends to favor high GPAs (regardless of URM status), so with that in mind:
An LSAT of 175 and a GPA of 3.0 (arbitrary extremes) yielded a 0.0588 probability, or rather 6% chance.
An LSAT of 152 and a GPA of 4.0 (again, arbitrary) yielded a 50% chance of being admitted.
So in essence it fits the anecdotal assumption that Berkeley prefers higher GPAs, but don't be mislead by the actual numbers associated with the probabilities--statistically speaking, this model isn't catered for splitters. However, in Berkeley's case, the model seems to be much more robust than others and I would safely use it as starting point for predicting your chances.
Anyways, I think I only need Duke and Georgetown to round off the top14 and then I'll get to UT, BU, SMU, etc (you all have not been forgotten and thanks for your patience)
-
- Posts: 302
- Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2010 8:21 pm
Re: URM School Statistics
I can't wait for Duke
- blacklawboss
- Posts: 522
- Joined: Tue Jan 11, 2011 6:22 pm
Re: URM School Statistics
you should do your own blogspacepenguin wrote:Berkeley
stuff = -37.00977 + 0.10622*LSAT + 5.21629*GPA
probability = exp(stuff)/(1+exp(stuff))
LSAT percentiles (25,50,75) = 162, 166, 169
GPA percentiles (25, 50, 75) = 3.62, 3.81, 3.9
LSAT min = 149
GPA min = 3.090
Berkeley has a ton of data, so that was nice and I took the liberty of testing how splitters would do. Anecdotally, Berkeley tends to favor high GPAs (regardless of URM status), so with that in mind:
An LSAT of 175 and a GPA of 3.0 (arbitrary extremes) yielded a 0.0588 probability, or rather 6% chance.
An LSAT of 152 and a GPA of 4.0 (again, arbitrary) yielded a 50% chance of being admitted.
So in essence it fits the anecdotal assumption that Berkeley prefers higher GPAs, but don't be mislead by the actual numbers associated with the probabilities--statistically speaking, this model isn't catered for splitters. However, in Berkeley's case, the model seems to be much more robust than others and I would safely use it as starting point for predicting your chances.
Anyways, I think I only need Duke and Georgetown to round off the top14 and then I'll get to UT, BU, SMU, etc (you all have not been forgotten and thanks for your patience)
- spacepenguin
- Posts: 535
- Joined: Thu Dec 16, 2010 1:17 am
Re: URM School Statistics
Duke
stuff = -62.34643 + 0.28690*LSAT + 4.4845*GPA
probability = exp(stuff)/(1+exp(stuff))
LSAT percentiles (25,50,75) = 163.5, 167, 170
GPA percentiles (25,50,75) = 3.6, 3.71, 3.88
LSAT min = 153
GPA min = 3.06
*prefers traditional splitters versus reverse splitters
*scoring at the median (both GPA and LSAT) results in a 90% chance of being admitted
stuff = -62.34643 + 0.28690*LSAT + 4.4845*GPA
probability = exp(stuff)/(1+exp(stuff))
LSAT percentiles (25,50,75) = 163.5, 167, 170
GPA percentiles (25,50,75) = 3.6, 3.71, 3.88
LSAT min = 153
GPA min = 3.06
*prefers traditional splitters versus reverse splitters
*scoring at the median (both GPA and LSAT) results in a 90% chance of being admitted