rayiner wrote:One of the things that needs to be borne in mind is that these charts minimize placement differences somewhat, because no-offers didn't happen in any predictable way across school ranks. Indeed, the schools that had the best placement (into elite NYC biglaw) probably got hit with the bulk of the no-offers. Consider:
80% of CLS gets a 2L SA through OCI. Another 10% could get it, but choose to do something else (elite boutiques, PI, etc). This is consistent with what would've been the case for C/O 2009 at OCI.
40% of GWU gets a 2L SA through OCI. If more people could've gotten such offers, they would've taken them, so this number is not saturated. This is consistent with what would've been the case for C/O 2009 at OCI.
Now, say 30% of NYC 2L SA's get no-offered, compared to 10% of DC 2L SA's (DC firms shed an order of magnitude fewer NJL250 jobs per capita than NYC firms).
Now, suddenly CLS is at 56% NLJ250 placement, while GWU is at 36%. Suddenly you go from 90% versus 40% being able to get biglaw at OCI to 56% versus 36% actually getting it.
The same thing happened to the CLS class of 2010. I recently had brunch with one of my favorite CLS people, and he said there are a decent number of 3Ls who are "in trouble." I was kind of shocked, because I was socialized to believe that not failing out of CLS = writing your NYC biglaw ticket. I'm sure they'll get clerkships, so they won't really be in trouble, but I just wanted to tell you that you're 100% spot on with this.